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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Liverpool
S S S S S
4–1
Full-time
Norwich
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 2
0 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jan -16 Norwich – Liverpool 4–5 20. Sep -15 Liverpool – Norwich 1–1

Match report

Liverpool Norwich
0–1 G. Hanley ⚽
own goal
7′
1–1 Mohamed Salah ⚽
Roberto Firmino
19′
2–1 V. van Dijk ⚽
Mohamed Salah
28′
Adrián 🔁
↦ Alisson
39′
3–1 D. Origi ⚽
T. Alexander-Arnold
42′
Half-time 3–1
58′
🔁 M. Leitner
↦ M. Stiepermann
60′
🟨 Moritz Leitner
64′
⚽ T. Pukki 3–2
E. Buendía
65′
🟨 Emiliano Buendía
70′
🔁 O. Hernández
↦ T. Trybull
S. Mané 🔁
↦ D. Origi
74′
83′
🔁 J. Drmic
↦ T. Pukki
J. Milner 🔁
↦ Roberto Firmino
86′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 Alisson G
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
12 J. Gomez D
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
14 J. Henderson M
3 Fabinho M
9 Roberto Firmino F
11 Mohamed Salah F
27 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
13 Adrián
10 S. Mané
7 J. Milner
8 N. Keïta
32 J. Matip
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
23 X. Shaqiri

Coach: J. Klopp

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 T. Krul G
5 G. Hanley D
4 B. Godfrey D
12 J. Lewis D
2 M. Aarons D
18 M. Stiepermann M
23 K. McLean M
19 T. Trybull M
17 E. Buendía M
14 T. Cantwell M
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (7)
10 M. Leitner
11 O. Hernández
20 J. Drmic
3 S. Byram
21 R. Fährmann
7 P. Roberts
8 M. Vrančić

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
🔒
U
8,75
🔒
B
19,83
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,41
🔒
U2,5
2,92
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.