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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: D Higraff
Aalesund
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Jerv
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 58%
55%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
45%
60%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 2. · Jerv 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 11 7 2 2 +13 23
2 Aalesund 11 6 2 3 +4 20
3 Jerv 10 6 2 2 +1 20
4 Fredrikstad 10 5 3 2 +6 18
5 Bryne 11 5 2 4 +2 17
6 Asane 11 5 1 5 -1 16
7 Sogndal 11 4 3 4 +5 15
8 Raufoss 11 4 2 5 +2 14
9 Ranheim 11 3 4 4 -2 13
10 Start 11 4 1 6 -3 13
11 KFUM Oslo 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Ull/Kisa 11 3 3 5 -4 12
13 Grorud 11 3 3 5 -4 12
14 Stjørdals-Blink 11 4 0 7 -9 12
15 Strommen 11 2 5 4 -4 11
16 Sandnes ULF 11 2 4 5 -7 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Jerv
42′
🟨 D. Campos
Half-time 0–1
47′
Willis Furtado 0–1
64′
🟨 T. Wichne
68′
🔁 E. Sandberg
↦ D. Campos
68′
🔁 I. Mafi
↦ A. Konte
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
72′
M. Diaw 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
72′
S. Rafn 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 T. Zernichow
↦ T. Wichne
75′
🔁 Ikhsan Fandi
↦ Pibe
I. Määttä 🔁
↦ Nenass
76′
J. Hatlehol 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
85′
1–1 E. Segberg
88′
94′
🟨 M. Wichmann
N. Castro 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

13 M. Lansing
33 S. Rafn
18 D. Ólafsson
3 Q. Jansen
38 N. Hopland
14 T. Kallevåg
6 E. Segberg
11 S. Nordli
7 Nenass
22 S. Haugen
9 N. Castro
Bench (7)
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
17 M. Diaw
19 I. Määttä
16 J. Hatlehol
1 A. Lie
37 H. Melland
34 S. Holte

Coach: L. Nilsen

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
14 D. Arrocha
16 J. Norheim
18 J. Solli
2 T. Wichne
6 M. Wichmann
10 T. Kok
7 Willis Furtado
9 D. Campos
27 A. Konte
39 Pibe
Bench (7)
5 E. Sandberg
19 I. Mafi
8 T. Zernichow
99 Ikhsan Fandi
13 H. Suggelia
23 O. Håbestad
30 A. Olsvoll

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.