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Coupe de France

Referee: J Lomi

Stade Pontivy

S U T

1–2

Full-time

Rouen

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Vitré	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Laval	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Quevilly Rouen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Villers Houlgate CF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Chambly Thelle FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Métropole Troyenne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Castanet	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Caen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Revel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Sarreguemines	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Dinan Léhon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Biesheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Pontivy GSI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Furiani-Agliani	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Entente S St Gratien	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Saint-Priest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Coulaines	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Plessis Robinson 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	AG Caennaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Mulhouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Libourne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Paimpol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Racing Colombes 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	JS Douvres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Chambéry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Sarre Union	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
62	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
64	Blagnac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
65	Pontarlier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
66	Fleury 91	1	1	0	0	+1	3
67	Villenave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
68	Panazol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
69	Stade Mayennais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
70	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Fabrègues	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Squadra Valincu ARR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Nœux-les-Mines	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Avoine OCC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Stade Plabennec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Challans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Saint-Denis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Domerat	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Auxerre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Forbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Geispolsheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Schweighouse s/Moder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Roche Saint-Genest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
109	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
110	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
111	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
112	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Longueau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Flers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	US Laon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Choisy au Bac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Volvic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Vierzon FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Colmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Isle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Morlaas Est-Bearn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Aunis Avenir	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Jarville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
136	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
137	TA Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
138	Roannais Foot	1	0	0	1	-2	0
139	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
140	Villerupt Thil	1	0	0	1	-2	0
141	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
142	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
143	Plougastel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	Noisy-le-Sec	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Le Poiré sur Vie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Seyssins	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Saint-Michel 91	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Camon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
149	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
150	Le Quesnoy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
151	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
152	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
153	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
154	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
155	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
156	St-Aubin Guérande	1	0	0	1	-3	0
157	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
158	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
159	Montdidier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
160	Montlouis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
161	Auch	1	0	0	1	-4	0
162	FC Equeurdreville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
163	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0
164	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
165	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0
166	Châteaugiron	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Villers Houlgate CF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Dinan Léhon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Pontivy GSI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Coulaines	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Plessis Robinson 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	AG Caennaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Mulhouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Paimpol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	JS Douvres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Chambéry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Sarre Union	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Blagnac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Villenave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Fabrègues	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Nœux-les-Mines	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Stade Plabennec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Forbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Schweighouse s/Moder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Roche Saint-Genest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	US Laon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Vierzon FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Colmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Morlaas Est-Bearn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Aunis Avenir	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Jarville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Roannais Foot	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Villerupt Thil	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Noisy-le-Sec	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Seyssins	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Saint-Michel 91	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Camon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Le Quesnoy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	St-Aubin Guérande	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Montdidier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Montlouis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Auch	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
82	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Châteaugiron	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Vitré	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Laval	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Quevilly Rouen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Chambly Thelle FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Métropole Troyenne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Castanet	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Caen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Revel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sarreguemines	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Biesheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Furiani-Agliani	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Entente S St Gratien	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Saint-Priest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Libourne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Racing Colombes 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Pontarlier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Fleury 91	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Panazol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Stade Mayennais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Squadra Valincu ARR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Avoine OCC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Challans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Saint-Denis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Domerat	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Auxerre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Geispolsheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Longueau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Flers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Choisy au Bac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Volvic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Isle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	TA Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Plougastel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Le Poiré sur Vie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FC Equeurdreville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.