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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: E Bodding
Aalesund
S U U S S
6–2
Full-time
Grorud
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Grorud
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
53%
24%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
47%
65%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
65%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 3. · Grorud 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 17 12 2 3 +24 38
2 Jerv 16 10 3 3 +3 33
3 Aalesund 17 9 5 3 +8 32
4 Fredrikstad 17 8 5 4 +11 29
5 KFUM Oslo 16 7 5 4 +5 26
6 Sogndal 17 7 4 6 +6 25
7 Ranheim 17 6 5 6 +0 23
8 Asane 17 7 2 8 -6 23
9 Ull/Kisa 17 6 4 7 -4 22
10 Raufoss 17 6 3 8 -1 21
11 Start 17 5 4 8 -2 19
12 Stjørdals-Blink 17 6 1 10 -15 19
13 Bryne 17 5 3 9 -4 18
14 Sandnes ULF 17 4 5 8 -8 17
15 Grorud 17 4 3 10 -10 15
16 Strommen 17 2 8 7 -7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Jul -21 Grorud – Aalesund 1–2

Match report

Aalesund Grorud
1–0 S. Haugen
13′
2–0 S. Nordli
27′
3–0 S. Haugen
29′
42′
🟨 O. Drammeh
Half-time 3–0
N. Castro 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
46′
N. Hopland 🔁
↦ Q. Jansen
46′
46′
🔁 K. Mankowitz
↦ N. Hristov
D. Fallman 🟨
48′
4–0 N. Castro
49′
61′
🔁 R. Essaeh
↦ O. Drammeh
61′
🔁 F. Pettersen
↦ C. Zafeiris
61′
B. Kristensen 4–1
Nenass 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
63′
M. Brajanac 🔁
↦ S. Haugen
63′
66′
🟨 S. Elmi
5–1 N. Castro
67′
J. Grønner 🔁
↦ D. Fällman
72′
73′
F. Pettersen 5–2
6–2 N. Castro
77′
78′
🔁 A. Guðjónsson
↦ B. Kristensen
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

13 M. Lansing
5 D. Fällman
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
3 Q. Jansen
29 K. Barmen
14 T. Kallevåg
6 E. Segberg
11 S. Nordli
19 I. Määttä
22 S. Haugen
Bench (9)
9 N. Castro
38 N. Hopland
7 Nenass
10 M. Brajanac
4 J. Grønner
1 A. Lie
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
17 M. Diaw
33 S. Rafn

Coach: L. Nilsen

Grorud

1 M. Viken
22 H. Bredeli
21 G. Meyer
15 F. Ness
20 S. Elmi
16 V. Skåttun
17 O. Drammeh
26 C. Zafeiris
7 P. Mankowitz
14 N. Hristov
29 B. Kristensen
Bench (7)
11 K. Mankowitz
2 R. Essaeh
9 F. Pettersen
4 A. Guðjónsson
13 H. Yousef
40 S. Osestad
25 O. Petersen

Coach: J. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.