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KNVB Beker
Referee: E van der Vaart
DEM
U T S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

DEM Sportlust '46
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 54%
33%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
33%
75%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match DEM 27. · Sportlust '46 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Groene Ster 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Kloetinge 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Eemdijk 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 OJC Rosmalen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 VV Scherpenzeel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 GVV Unitas 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Meerssen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 UNA 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 RKSV Nuenen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Gemert 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Westlandia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Sparta Nijkerk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 RKAV Volendam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Sportlust '46 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Harkemase Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Hoek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Hercules 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Ijsselmeervogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 SJC Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Staphorst 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Olde Veste '54 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 HVCH 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Hoogeveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 DEM 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Csv Apeldoorn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Vvsb 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 TEC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
55 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
59 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
60 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.