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KNVB Beker

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Excelsior Maassluis

T U

1–0

Full-time

Volendam

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Maassluis Volendam

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%

4 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 3

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RKAV Volendam	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	DEM	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Hercules	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Hoogeveen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
14	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	TEC	3	1	1	1	-3	4
20	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
23	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
25	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
61	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
103	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
104	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	DEM	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	RKAV Volendam	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
14	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Ijsselmeervogels	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
35	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
36	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
2	Hercules	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Eemdijk	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	TEC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
67	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior Maassluis Volendam

1–0 R. Ouali ⚽

G. Overman

20′

Calvin Tureaij 🟨

45′

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 A. Douiri

↦ D. Payne

46′

🔁 G. Kuol

↦ B. Ould-Chikh

Yael Eisden 🟨

61′

64′

🔁 B. Plat

↦ B. van Driel

64′

🔁 Z. Booth

↦ D. Johnson

D. van Delft 🔁

↦ P. Langedijk

68′

Redouan Omar Ouali 🟨

70′

75′

🟨 Milan de Haan

D. Plank 🔁

↦ K. Dercks

77′

G. da Fonseca 🔁

↦ C. Tureaij

77′

79′

🔁 R. Maulun

↦ R. Mühren

D. Heuvelman 🔁

↦ R. Ouali

87′

Bram Wennekers 🟨

88′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Excelsior Maassluis

5-3-2

16 T. van der Kleij G

2 C. Tureaij D

3 K. Ringeling D

4 G. Urbanus D

15 Y. Eisden D

21 G. Overman D

5 V. Schippers M

17 K. Dercks M

7 R. Ouali M

11 P. Langedijk F

9 B. Wennekers F

Bench (12)

18 D. van Delft

27 D. Plank

14 G. da Fonseca

26 D. Heuvelman

20 Baset Moshtaq

12 O. Kellouh

25 J. Ringelberg

1 T. Boks

8 S. Sánchez

19 S. Klaassen

10 K. Muis

22 T. Croes

Coach: S. Jacobs

Volendam

4-4-2

M. Backhaus G

26 D. Payne D

4 D. Mirani D

28 J. Flint D

5 G. Cox D

11 B. Ould-Chikh M

48 B. van Driel

36 M. de Haan M

38 D. Johnson M

L. Zeefuik F

21 R. Mühren F

Bench (10)

24 A. Douiri

14 G. Kuol

3 B. Plat

7 Z. Booth

10 R. Maulun

34 I. El Kadiri

22 B. Lauwers

6 B. Benamar

27 Q. Hoeve

20 K. van Oevelen

Coach: M. Kohler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

20. Sep KNVB 3 years ago

21. Sep KNVB 4 years ago

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

2,6 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

19,5 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Excelsior Maassluis

Volendam

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee