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Belgisk cup
Referee: T De Keyzer
Dessel Sport
S S
2–1
Full-time
Excelsior Virton
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dessel Sport Excelsior Virton
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
5,0
6,5
Scored
4,5
5,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+4,5
This season — Belgisk cup · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
5,0
6,5
Scored
4,5
5,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+4,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Dessel Sport 33. · Excelsior Virton 32. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lokeren-Temse 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Perwez 4 3 1 0 +11 10
3 Houtvenne 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 Tempo Overijse 5 3 1 1 +6 10
5 Meux 4 3 1 0 +6 10
6 Cappellen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
7 Wellen 4 3 0 1 +19 9
8 Eendracht Aalst 3 3 0 0 +13 9
9 Racing Mechelen 3 3 0 0 +10 9
10 Patro Eisden 3 3 0 0 +10 9
11 Wezel 4 3 0 1 +7 9
12 Sporting Hasselt 4 3 0 1 +7 9
13 Bocholt 4 3 0 1 +7 9
14 Ostiches 4 3 0 1 +6 9
15 Thes Sport 3 3 0 0 +5 9
16 Francs Borains 3 3 0 0 +5 9
17 Dikkelvenne 3 3 0 0 +4 9
18 JS Fizoise 4 3 0 1 +1 9
19 Jong Lede 4 2 2 0 +3 8
20 Sint-Lenaarts 3 2 1 0 +9 7
21 Linden 4 2 1 1 +5 7
22 Oudenaarde 3 2 1 0 +5 7
23 Beringen 3 2 1 0 +5 7
24 Onhaye 4 2 1 1 +4 7
25 Weerstand Koersel 4 2 1 1 +0 7
26 VW Hamme 4 2 1 1 +0 7
27 Westhoek 4 2 1 1 -1 7
28 Rhodienne-De Hoek 3 2 0 1 +10 6
29 Herstal 3 2 0 1 +9 6
30 Sprimont 3 2 0 1 +9 6
31 Sassport Boezinge 3 2 0 1 +9 6
32 Excelsior Virton 2 2 0 0 +9 6
33 Dessel Sport 2 2 0 0 +8 6
34 Rupel Boom 3 2 0 1 +6 6
35 Olsa Brakel 3 2 0 1 +5 6
36 Raeren-Eynatten 3 2 0 1 +5 6
37 Jette 3 2 0 1 +5 6
38 Schriek 3 2 0 1 +5 6
39 Mormont 3 2 0 1 +5 6
40 Dender 2 2 0 0 +5 6
41 Couvin-Mariembourg 3 2 0 1 +4 6
42 Tubize 3 2 0 1 +4 6
43 Ranst 3 2 0 1 +3 6
44 Gosselies Sports 3 2 0 1 +3 6
45 Sparta Petegem 3 2 0 1 +3 6
46 Heist 3 2 0 1 +3 6
47 RAAL La Louviere 2 2 0 0 +3 6
48 Binche 3 2 0 1 +3 6
49 Ganshoren 3 2 0 1 +2 6
50 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 3 2 0 1 +2 6
51 City Pirates Antwerpen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
52 Achel 3 2 0 1 +1 6
53 Berlare 3 2 0 1 +1 6
54 Zwarte Leeuw 3 2 0 1 +1 6
55 Hoogstraten 3 2 0 1 +1 6
56 Entité Manageoise 3 2 0 1 +1 6
57 Sint-Eloois-Winkel 3 2 0 1 +1 6
58 Union Bossière Gembloux 3 2 0 1 +0 6
59 Gullegem 3 2 0 1 +0 6
60 Drongen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
61 Trois-Ponts 3 2 0 1 -2 6
62 Jeunesse Tamines 2 1 1 0 +5 4
63 Diksmuide 2 1 1 0 +5 4
64 Vaux-Noville 3 1 1 1 +4 4
65 Geel 3 1 1 1 +3 4
66 Spouwen-Mopertingen 2 1 1 0 +3 4
67 Witgoor Sport 3 1 1 1 +3 4
68 HO Kalken 2 1 1 0 +2 4
69 URSL Visé 2 1 1 0 +2 4
70 Erpe-Mere United 2 1 1 0 +2 4
71 Knokke 2 1 1 0 +2 4
72 Lille 3 1 1 1 +1 4
73 Wevelgem City 2 1 1 0 +1 4
74 Eendracht Aalter 2 1 1 0 +1 4
75 Tongeren 2 1 1 0 +1 4
76 Aische 2 1 1 0 +1 4
77 Habay-la-Neuve 3 1 1 1 +1 4
78 Harelbeke 2 1 1 0 +1 4
79 La Calamine 2 1 1 0 +1 4
80 Longlier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
81 Roeselare Daisel 3 1 1 1 +0 4
82 Deerlijk Sport 3 1 1 1 +0 4
83 Union Namur 3 1 1 1 +0 4
84 Avanti 3 1 1 1 -1 4
85 Albert Quévy-Mons 3 1 1 1 -1 4
86 Biesme 3 1 1 1 -1 4
87 Mariekerke 3 1 1 1 -4 4
88 Wielsbeke 3 1 1 1 -5 4
89 Arquet 3 1 1 1 -7 4
90 Hoeselt 2 1 0 1 +8 3
91 Londerzeel 2 1 0 1 +7 3
92 Sparta Heestert 2 1 0 1 +6 3
93 Aywaille 2 1 0 1 +6 3
94 RAS Monceau 2 1 0 1 +5 3
95 Elene-Grotenberge 2 1 0 1 +5 3
96 Richelle United 2 1 0 1 +3 3
97 Eendracht Termien 2 1 0 1 +3 3
98 Rebecq 2 1 0 1 +3 3
99 Marloie Sport 2 1 0 1 +3 3
100 RFC Wetteren 2 1 0 1 +2 3
101 Jodoigne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
102 Malmundaria 2 1 0 1 +2 3
103 Sart-Lez-Spa 2 1 0 1 +2 3
104 Olympia Wijgmaal 2 1 0 1 +2 3
105 Liège 2 1 0 1 +2 3
106 Nijlen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
107 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 2 1 0 1 +2 3
108 Destelbergen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
109 Seraing United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
110 Geraardsbergen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
111 Liedekerke 2 1 0 1 +1 3
112 Zelzate 2 1 0 1 +1 3
113 Ardennen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
114 Léopold 2 1 0 1 +1 3
115 Acren-Lessines 2 1 0 1 +1 3
116 Hades 2 1 0 1 +1 3
117 Ninove 2 1 0 1 +1 3
118 Huy II 2 1 0 1 +1 3
119 Berlaar-Heikant 2 1 0 1 +1 3
120 Grand-Leez 2 1 0 1 +1 3
121 Eendracht Wervik 2 1 0 1 +1 3
122 Borght-Humbeek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
123 Deinze 1 1 0 0 +1 3
124 Kalfort Puursica 2 1 0 1 +0 3
125 Anderlues 2 1 0 1 +0 3
126 Union Lasne-Ohain 2 1 0 1 +0 3
127 Verlaine 2 1 0 1 +0 3
128 RAEC Mons II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
129 Svelta Melsele 2 1 0 1 +0 3
130 Zepperen-Brustem 2 1 0 1 +0 3
131 Rochefort 2 1 0 1 +0 3
132 Racing Peer 2 1 0 1 +0 3
133 Torpedo Hasselt 2 1 0 1 +0 3
134 Standaard Meerbeek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
135 Stade Bierbeek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
136 Fenixx BeigHum 2 1 0 1 +0 3
137 Denderhoutem 2 1 0 1 +0 3
138 Crossing Schaerbeek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
139 Belœil 2 1 0 1 -1 3
140 Huy 2 1 0 1 -1 3
141 Lorraine Arlon 2 1 0 1 -1 3
142 Racing Waregem 2 1 0 1 -1 3
143 Heide Hasselt 2 1 0 1 -1 3
144 JSM Roselies 2 1 0 1 -1 3
145 RES Durbuy 2 1 0 1 -1 3
146 Retie 2 1 0 1 -1 3
147 Merelbeke 2 1 0 1 -1 3
148 Waremme 2 1 0 1 -1 3
149 Wallonne Ciney 2 1 0 1 -1 3
150 Anzegem 2 1 0 1 -2 3
151 Betekom 2 1 0 1 -2 3
152 Stade Everois 2 1 0 1 -2 3
153 Rumbeke 2 1 0 1 -2 3
154 Berchem Sport 2 1 0 1 -3 3
155 Excelsior Mariakerke 2 1 0 1 -4 3
156 VS Kortenaken 2 1 0 1 -4 3
157 Sporting Club Jemappes 2 1 0 1 -4 3
158 Grez-Doiceau 2 1 0 1 -5 3
159 Kleit Maldegem 2 1 0 1 -5 3
160 Condruzien 2 1 0 1 -8 3
161 Hombourg 3 0 2 1 -1 2
162 Crossing Vissenaken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
163 Esperanza Pelt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
164 Ster-Francorchamps 1 0 1 0 +0 1
165 Hamoir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
166 Meix-Devant-Virton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
167 Wallonia Thisnes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
168 Tournai 1 0 1 0 +0 1
169 Eeklo Meetjesland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
170 Zonhoven United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
171 Oostkamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
172 La Louvière Centre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
173 Stade Disonais 1 0 1 0 +0 1
174 Voorde Appelterre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
175 Ransart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
176 Torhout 1 0 1 0 +0 1
177 Pepingen-Halle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
178 Warnant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
179 Latem 2 0 1 1 -2 1
180 US d'Ophain 2 0 1 1 -2 1
181 Sporting Kampenhout 2 0 1 1 -3 1
182 Elsautoise 2 0 1 1 -3 1
183 Jeunesse Freylangeoise 2 0 1 1 -4 1
184 Diegem Sport 2 0 1 1 -4 1
185 Zingem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
186 KRC Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
187 Club Roeselare 1 0 0 1 -1 0
188 AC Lustin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
189 Excelsior Zedelgem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
190 Huccorgne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
191 Poesele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
192 Nielse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
193 Ternesse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
194 Montegnée 1 0 0 1 -1 0
195 Turnhout 1 0 0 1 -1 0
196 Solières Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
197 Spy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
198 Braine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
199 Diest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
200 Libramont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
201 Montignies 1 0 0 1 -1 0
202 Schoonbeek-Beverst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
203 Herk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
204 Aubange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
205 SC Zonnebeke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
206 Hoegaarden-Outgaarden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
207 Wolvertem Merchtem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
208 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
209 RC Lauwe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
210 Villers-La-Ville 1 0 0 1 -1 0
211 Le Roeulx 1 0 0 1 -1 0
212 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
213 Messancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
214 Eendracht Zele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
215 Wambeek-Ternat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
216 Lauwe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
217 Newcastle United U21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
218 Dendermonde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
219 Blankenberge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
220 Ecaussinnes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
221 Ethe Belmont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
222 Vilvoorde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
223 RWL Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
224 Olympic Charleroi 1 0 0 1 -1 0
225 Tienen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
226 Jabbeke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
227 Antonia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
228 Berchem Sport II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
229 RU Rixensartoise 1 0 0 1 -2 0
230 Herselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
231 Grembergen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
232 Waterloo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
233 Bastogne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
234 BX Brussels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
235 De Kempen II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
236 FC Lebbeke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
237 Grimbergen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
238 Lendelede Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
239 Loyers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
240 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
241 Varsenare 1 0 0 1 -2 0
242 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
243 Lokeren Doorslaar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
244 Olympic Namur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
245 RESC Houffaloise 1 0 0 1 -2 0
246 Sint-Niklaas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
247 Stockay-Warfusée 1 0 0 1 -3 0
248 VC Groot Dilbeek 1 0 0 1 -3 0
249 Anvaing 1 0 0 1 -3 0
250 Stockel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
251 Rapid Symphorinois 1 0 0 1 -3 0
252 SK Oetingen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
253 Chastre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
254 Wijnegem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
255 Rapid Symphorinois II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
256 De Kempen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
257 Eendracht Louwel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
258 St-Joris Sleidinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
259 Neeroeteren 1 0 0 1 -3 0
260 Royal Wavre-Limal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
261 Groen Star Beek 1 0 0 1 -4 0
262 Eppegem 1 0 0 1 -4 0
263 WS Schorvoort 1 0 0 1 -4 0
264 Vlijtingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
265 Eendracht Winnik 1 0 0 1 -4 0
266 Sparta Lille 1 0 0 1 -4 0
267 Oppuurs 1 0 0 1 -4 0
268 K. Kontich 1 0 0 1 -4 0
269 Soignies Sports 1 0 0 1 -4 0
270 Football Club Schaerbeek 1 0 0 1 -4 0
271 RAC Saint-Mard 1 0 0 1 -4 0
272 Saint-Vith 1 0 0 1 -5 0
273 Etoilés Ére-Allain 1 0 0 1 -5 0
274 Eendracht Zoersel 1 0 0 1 -5 0
275 US Givry 1 0 0 1 -5 0
276 Sartoise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
277 ES de la Molignée 1 0 0 1 -5 0
278 KMR Biesen 1 0 0 1 -5 0
279 Gerpinnes 1 0 0 1 -6 0
280 Toekomst Relegem 1 0 0 1 -6 0
281 Rapid Leest II 1 0 0 1 -6 0
282 Lutlommel 1 0 0 1 -6 0
283 Nismes 1 0 0 1 -6 0
284 Vamos Zandvoorde 1 0 0 1 -7 0
285 FC Eupen II 1 0 0 1 -7 0
286 Montignies II 1 0 0 1 -8 0
287 Lissewege 1 0 0 1 -8 0
288 Punt-Larum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
289 Mandel United 1 0 0 1 -8 0
290 RAFC Cuesmes 1 0 0 1 -9 0
291 STA Genk 1 0 0 1 -10 0
292 Bressoux 1 0 0 1 -11 0
293 Oreye Union 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dessel Sport Excelsior Virton
27′
🔁 M. Perri
↦ M. Lloci
35′
⚽ E. Spago 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 S. Paulet
↦ H. Abdallah
63′
🔁 A. Allach
↦ L. Akhalaia
63′
🔁 K. Ilunga
↦ R. Droehnlé
O. Cheprassov 🔁
↦ S. Loshi
65′
S. Geukens 🔁
↦ N. Mekkaoui
69′
1–1 T. Osei-Berkoe ⚽
69′
81′
🔁 M. Guillaume
↦ H. Kagé
L. Peeters 🔁
↦ R. Goor
90′
A. Swerten 🔁
↦ T. Osei-Berkoe
90′
91′
🔁 S. Kılıç
↦ K. Ilunga
S. Kolen 🔁
↦ T. Ghislain
95′
2–1 A. Cerigioni ⚽
109′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dessel Sport

99 V. Camps
44 K. Haagen
24 H. Smolders
5 T. Ghislain
25 R. Goor
21 A. Cerigioni
8 D. Vanhaen
14 L. Versmissen
11 T. Osei-Berkoe
7 N. Mekkaoui
10 S. Loshi
Bench (7)
9 O. Cheprassov
18 S. Geukens
17 L. Peeters
96 A. Swerten
27 S. Kolen
16 X. Hout
1 G. Geladé

Coach: B. Lunenburg

Excelsior Virton

45 A. Sadin
5 K. Delorge
28 R. Droehnlé
23 M. Lloci
8 M. Doué
4 E. Spago
24 M. Espinosa
6 K. Masangu
10 H. Kagé
7 H. Abdallah
14 L. Akhalaia
Bench (7)
27 M. Perri
18 S. Paulet
11 A. Allach
17 K. Ilunga
15 M. Guillaume
20 S. Kılıç
12 T. Vincensini

Coach: C. Bracconi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.