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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Start
S S U U T
0–0
Full-time
Stabaek
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
67%
22%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 5. · Stabaek 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 9 7 2 0 +24 23
2 Mjondalen 10 7 1 2 +1 22
3 Stabaek 9 5 3 1 +10 18
4 Ranheim 9 5 2 2 +0 17
5 Start 9 4 3 2 +9 15
6 Sandnes ULF 8 5 0 3 -4 15
7 KFUM Oslo 8 4 2 2 +2 14
8 Sogndal 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Fredrikstad 9 3 2 4 +0 11
10 Raufoss 9 2 4 3 -6 10
11 Asane 9 2 3 4 -8 9
12 Bryne 10 2 2 6 -4 8
13 Kongsvinger 7 2 1 4 -1 7
14 Grorud 9 0 5 4 -6 5
15 Stjørdals-Blink 9 1 2 6 -8 5
16 Skeid 9 1 0 8 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Stabaek
H. Robstad 🟨
15′
18′
🟨 V. Wernersson
Half-time 0–0
J. Braut Brunes 🔁
↦ A. Sanyang
56′
63′
🔁 H. Geelmuyden
↦ K. Hansen
73′
🟨 P. Vogt
P. Reinhardsen 🔁
↦ S. Sjøkvist
74′
K. Valsvik 🔁
↦ E. Derviskadic
74′
81′
🔁 K. Kostadinov
↦ P. Metcalfe
B. Antonsson 🟨
84′
C. Cresswell 🔁
↦ E. Schulze
87′
87′
🔁 T. Lange
↦ P. Vogt
87′
🔁 G. Orban
↦ F. Krogstad
95′
🟨 T. Lange
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Start

96 M. Jensen
4 V. Wormgoor
15 H. Robstad
22 K. Tønnessen
14 L. Mares
11 E. Schulze
6 B. Antonsson
21 S. Sjøkvist
7 E. Derviskadic
10 A. Sanyang
16 O. Fallenius
Bench (9)
9 J. Braut Brunes
5 P. Reinhardsen
8 K. Valsvik
20 C. Cresswell
3 V. Bergan
18 J. Tveita
23 M. Grundetjern
1 J. Torkildsen
49 J. Gregersen

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Stabaek

12 M. Sandberg
4 S. Wangberg
3 N. Næss
19 V. Wernersson
5 N. Jenssen
22 P. Vogt
14 F. Krogstad
18 P. Metcalfe
7 F. Azemi
11 K. Hansen
23 O. Edvardsen
Bench (7)
10 H. Geelmuyden
24 K. Kostadinov
13 T. Lange
16 G. Orban
1 M. Ulla
2 K. Pedersen
20 A. Andresen

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.