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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Sletner
Sogndal
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Fredrikstad
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 39%
50%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
67%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
75%
45%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 5. · Fredrikstad 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 12 10 2 0 +28 32
2 Ranheim 12 7 3 2 +4 24
3 Stabaek 12 6 5 1 +12 23
4 Mjondalen 12 7 1 4 -2 22
5 Sogndal 12 6 2 4 +1 20
6 Start 11 5 4 2 +12 19
7 KFUM Oslo 11 5 3 3 +0 18
8 Raufoss 11 4 4 3 -2 16
9 Sandnes ULF 11 5 1 5 -8 16
10 Fredrikstad 11 3 4 4 +0 13
11 Asane 12 3 4 5 -8 13
12 Kongsvinger 9 2 3 4 -1 9
13 Bryne 12 2 3 7 -5 9
14 Grorud 12 0 6 6 -9 6
15 Skeid 12 2 0 10 -10 6
16 Stjørdals-Blink 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Fredrikstad
36′
🟨 J. Lindstrom
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Gunnarsson
64′
U. Mathisen 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 S. Molde
↦ A. Hadžić
67′
🔁 T. Drage
↦ N. Williams
K. Hoven 🔁
↦ E. Grønner
69′
75′
🔁 O. Okeke
↦ R. Alba
79′
N. Solberg 1–1
A. Hoven 🔁
↦ S. Ørjasæter
83′
84′
🔁 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
↦ T. Drage
84′
🔁 F. Stensland
↦ O. Øby
A. Nord 🔁
↦ J. Jónsson
87′
90′
🟨 F. A. Stensland
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
5 H. Gunnarsson
6 A. Kryger
3 M. Gueye
26 A. van der Spa
15 K. Nessø
7 J. Jónsson
8 V. Ingimundarson
19 U. Mathisen
27 S. Ørjasæter
28 E. Grønner
Bench (9)
18 K. Hoven
11 A. Hoven
23 A. Nord
9 E. Kupen
14 P. Michael
16 E. Lereng
17 M. Blårud
21 J. Johnsen
30 E. Flataker

Coach: T. Flo

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
26 M. Nielsen
18 L. Begby
2 A. Hansen
21 O. Jansson
14 J. Lindström
19 O. Øby
5 A. Hadžić
10 N. Solberg
11 R. Alba
24 N. Williams
Bench (7)
4 S. Molde
7 T. Drage
22 O. Okeke
16 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
33 F. Stensland
17 T. Johansen
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: B. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.