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DBU Pokalen

Referee: S Rasmussen

Hillerød

T S

0–2

Full-time

Lyngby

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hillerød Lyngby

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

5,0

2,7

Scored

4,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	B 93	2	2	0	0	+21	6
2	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+15	6
3	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+12	6
4	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Viby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Lyseng	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	HIK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+18	3
13	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+13	3
14	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+8	3
15	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
16	Hillerød	1	1	0	0	+7	3
17	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	VRI	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+4	3
20	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Tune	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Kolding B	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Skjold Sæby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Ringsted	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Bagsværd	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	AB Tårnby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Søften	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Naestved	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	VSK Århus	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	B 1908	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Skjold Birkerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Skive	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Taastrup	2	1	0	1	-4	3
44	Dalum	2	1	0	1	-5	3
45	Aabenraa	2	1	0	1	-12	3
46	B 1909	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	tst Fodbold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Vejgaard B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Fjordager	2	0	1	1	-8	1
50	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Glostrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Amager FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gug	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Greve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	LSF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Tåsinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Nibe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Odder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Otterup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Jetsmark	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Køge Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Bispebjerg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Aarhus 1900	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Morud/Veflinge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Varde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Frederiksholm Sydhavnen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-5	0
84	Højslev IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
85	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
86	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
87	BSF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
88	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-7	0
89	KRFK	1	0	0	1	-7	0
90	Egen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
91	Bredballe	1	0	0	1	-8	0
92	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-16	0
93	Avrasya	1	0	0	1	-18	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Tune	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Kolding B	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Ringsted	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Lyseng	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Søften	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	HIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	B 1908	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Taastrup	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Dalum	2	1	0	1	-5	3
15	B 1909	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	tst Fodbold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Amager FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Greve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	LSF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Tåsinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Nibe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Odder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Otterup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Skive	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Jetsmark	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Køge Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Aarhus 1900	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Morud/Veflinge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Frederiksholm Sydhavnen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-5	0
41	Højslev IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-5	0
43	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
44	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
45	BSF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
46	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-7	0
47	KRFK	1	0	0	1	-7	0
48	Fjordager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
49	Egen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
50	Bredballe	1	0	0	1	-8	0
51	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-13	0
52	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-16	0
53	Avrasya	1	0	0	1	-18	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	B 93	2	2	0	0	+21	6
2	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+15	6
3	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+12	6
4	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+18	3
9	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+13	3
10	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+8	3
11	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
12	Hillerød	1	1	0	0	+7	3
13	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	VRI	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+4	3
16	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Skjold Sæby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Lyseng	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Bagsværd	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	AB Tårnby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Skjold Birkerød	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	HIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Aabenraa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Skive	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Naestved	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	VSK Århus	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Fjordager	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Vejgaard B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Glostrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Gug	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Bispebjerg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Varde	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hillerød Lyngby

N. Schmidt 🔁

↦ A. Hassan

29′

Half-time 0–0

A. Ahmad 🔁

↦ T. Arndal

46′

62′

🔁 M. Jensen

↦ Muniesa

62′

🔁 S. Ngabo

↦ J. Amon

N. Schmidt 🟨

68′

77′

🔁 C. Winther

↦ R. Çorlu

77′

🔁 E. Nielsen

↦ P. Bizoza

77′

⚽ F. Gytkjær 0–1

V. Schousboe 🔁

↦ M. Bay

80′

83′

⚽ F. Gytkjær 0–2

A. Højmark-Jensen 🔁

↦ R. Møller

85′

M. Langberg 🔁

↦ A. Alicino

85′

90′

🟨 Dani

90′

🔁 M. Dosso

↦ F. Gytkjær

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hillerød

1 Ovays Azizi

2 R. Møller

4 G. Arndal-Lauritzen

7 J. Witt

18 S. Sharif

19 M. Bay

8 T. Arndal

34 A. Alicino

6 M. Due Grandt

81 S. Pingel

16 A. Hassan

Bench (9)

12 N. Schmidt

11 A. Ahmad

9 V. Schousboe

23 A. Højmark-Jensen

28 M. Langberg

5 L. Bøje-Larsen

13 M. Al-Atlassi

30 H. Dalsgaard

70 J. Rindom

Coach: C. Lønstrup

Lyngby

J. Storch

3 B. Hamalainen

5 Muniesa

P. Gregor

J. Meyer

30 M. Rømer

10 R. Çorlu

8 P. Bizoza

F. Gytkjær

A. Guðjohnsen

17 J. Amon

Bench (9)

12 M. Jensen

19 S. Ngabo

13 C. Winther

36 E. Nielsen

37 M. Dosso

1 M. Kikkenborg

35 P. Langhoff

33 V. Eskildsen

34 W. Steindorsson

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

8. Aug POK 3 years ago

2. Aug POK 4 years ago

Referee

S Rasmussen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Hillerød

Lyngby

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee