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Svenska Cupen

Referee: T Nadarajah

Lucksta

5–3

Full-time

IFK Östersund

S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lucksta IFK Östersund

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+7	3
3	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Jönköpings BK	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Berga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Hässleholms IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Tyresö W	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Rosengård	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	IFK Luleå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Katrineholms SK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
48	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
49	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
50	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Jönköpings BK	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Berga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Hässleholms IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Tyresö W	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Rosengård	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	IFK Luleå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Katrineholms SK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
24	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
25	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Jul -22 Lucksta – IFK Östersund 1–3

Match report

Lucksta IFK Östersund

1–0 R. Hamdan ⚽

37′

2–0 E. Granat ⚽

39′

Half-time 2–1

55′

⚽ C. Omeje 2–1

A. Habte Eyes 🔁

↦ C. Francis

69′

75′

🔁 S. Talsi

↦ S. Sköldqvist

81′

⚽ C. Omeje 2–2

W. Bilander 🔁

↦ A. Ahmed

87′

3–2 R. Hamdan ⚽

96′

4–2 A. Turay ⚽

101′

5–2 S. Tahir ⚽

106′

107′

🔁 J. Eriksson

↦ R. Wikberg

107′

🔁 L. Abou-Reslan

↦ H. Mumand

107′

🔁 R. Essebrink

↦ P. Tegnhed

W. Hamdan 🔁

↦ F. Ljuslinder

115′

120′

⚽ P. Olofsson 5–3

Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Lucksta

O. Karlsson

S. Tewelde

C. Francis

C. Högbom

L. Ljuslinder

F. Ljuslinder

S. Tahir

E. Granat

R. Hamdan

A. Ahmed

A. Turay

Bench (9)

A. Habte Eyes

W. Bilander

W. Hamdan

L. Svensson

M. Gutic

M. Nilsson

S. Krantz

S. Saraniemi

I. Edlund

Coach: P. Thompson

IFK Östersund

E. Olsson

R. Wikberg

E. Gustavsson

M. Fredin

F. Arhin

P. Tegnhed

H. Mumand

S. Sköldqvist

A. Bodén

C. Omeje

P. Olofsson

Bench (5)

S. Talsi

J. Eriksson

L. Abou-Reslan

R. Essebrink

A. Åsenlund

Coach: A. Tagesson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

3. Jul CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Lucksta

IFK Östersund

Odds comparison

Recent matches