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Svenska Cupen

Referee: R Hasani

Berga

1–2

Full-time

Varnamo

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Berga Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+7	3
3	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Jönköpings BK	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Berga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Karlshamn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Lucksta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Dalstorps	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hässleholms IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Tyresö W	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Rosengård	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	IFK Luleå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Roslagsbro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
39	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
66	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Jönköpings BK	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Berga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Karlshamn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Lucksta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dalstorps	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hässleholms IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Tyresö W	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Rosengård	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	IFK Luleå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Roslagsbro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
32	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
33	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Berga Varnamo

W. Samuelsson 🔁

↦ O. Dahlström

15′

Half-time 0–0

58′

🔁 A. Ademi

↦ M. Bustos

59′

🔁 C. Johansson

↦ F. Adjei

59′

🔁 W. Kenndal

↦ K. Bilalovic

1–0 P. Eliassi ⚽

60′

F. Benatallah 🔁

↦ J. Andersson

69′

N. Shirzad 🔁

↦ E. Eliassi

69′

🔁 O. Johansson

↦ C. Vindehall

80′

⚽ A. Ademi 1–1

O. Hansson 🔁

↦ G. Citaku

81′

83′

⚽ A. Zeljkovic 1–2

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Berga

M. Yuusuf

A. Maikkula

A. Ziarat

O. Dahlström

P. Fredriksson

O. Engström

O. Lindh

J. Andersson

P. Eliassi

G. Citaku

E. Eliassi

Bench (9)

W. Samuelsson

F. Benatallah

N. Shirzad

O. Hansson

D. Mucolli

G. Morina

L. Jonsson

L. Mucolli

A. Gefvert

Coach: A. Ajeti

Varnamo

F. Voytekhovich

F. Winsth

A. Lohikangas

V. Eriksson

V. Larsson

C. Vindehall

F. Adjei

K. Bilalovic

M. Bustos

A. Zeljkovic

E. Bećirović

Bench (9)

A. Ademi

C. Johansson

W. Kenndal

O. Johansson

F. Bozicevic

H. Näsström

J. Kalu

J. Rasheed

V. Bergh

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

6. Jun CUP 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Berga

Varnamo

Odds comparison

Recent matches