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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Oberle
2–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trollhättan 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 FBK Karlstad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Sollentuna 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Berga 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Stockholm Internazionale 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Smedby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Falkenbergs FF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Jonkopings Sodra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Ariana 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Täby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Eskilsminne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Huddinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Torslanda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Simrishamn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Årsunda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Tord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Enskede 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Karlberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
29 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
30 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
31 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
32 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
33 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
34 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
35 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
36 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.