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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Magnus Nicolai Koløy
Moss
S T U S T
2–4
Full-time
Egersund
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Egersund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 46%
42%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 11. · Egersund 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 12 8 4 0 +21 28
2 Start 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Kongsvinger 12 5 4 3 +9 19
4 Sogndal 12 6 1 5 +4 19
5 Raufoss 13 4 6 3 +4 18
6 Odd 12 5 3 4 +2 18
7 hodd 13 5 3 5 -5 18
8 Aalesund 10 4 5 1 +5 17
9 Egersund 10 5 2 3 +3 17
10 Asane 12 4 4 4 -2 16
11 Moss 12 5 1 6 -7 16
12 Stabaek 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Ranheim 11 4 1 6 -6 13
14 Lyn 12 3 2 7 -4 11
15 Mjondalen 13 1 4 8 -19 7
16 Skeid 12 1 3 8 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Egersund
12′
M. Sauer 0–1
O. Kapskarmo
1–1 K. Sorensen
T. Jakobsen
16′
31′
M. Sauer 1–2
S. Vatne
Half-time 1–2
S. Hoydal 🔁
↦ H. Vold Krohg
46′
M. Welinder 🔁
↦ M. Antonsen
46′
51′
🔁 H. Elvevold
↦ O. Kapskarmo
53′
S. Vatne 1–3
2–3 B. Isufi
A. Memedov
57′
67′
🔁 C. Sleveland
↦ S. Vatne
67′
🔁 A. Bergersen
↦ M. Sauer
68′
D. Job 2–4
P. Pichkah
J. Barros 🟨
70′
78′
🔁 B. Maeland
↦ K. Eggen
78′
🔁 J. Salmon
↦ H. Tadesse
E. Softic 🔁
↦ B. Isufi
79′
G. Cerrada 🔁
↦ A. Hapnes
86′
L. Bernhoff-Jamt 🔁
↦ M. Cassidy
96′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
2 M. Cassidy
23 J. Barros
6 A. Hapnes
4 K. Harrison
37 M. Antonsen
11 T. Jakobsen
26 B. Isufi
19 A. Memedov
8 H. Vold Krohg
20 K. Sorensen
Bench (6)
30 M. Skott-Grande
16 S. Hoydal
24 M. Welinder
25 L. Bernhoff-Jamt
28 E. Softic
31 G. Cerrada

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Egersund

1 A. Hermansen
2 H. Kleppa
5 N. Jenssen
21 K. Eggen
27 S. Vatne
31 I. Jonsson
22 H. Tadesse
13 P. Pichkah
9 O. Kapskarmo
45 M. Sauer
28 D. Job
Bench (9)
12 P. Klausen
3 B. Maeland
8 C. Sleveland
11 A. Bergersen
14 F. Oprea
15 H. Elvevold
17 I. Halgunset
26 J. Salmon
91 S. Davis

Coach: Endre Eide

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.