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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Livingston
U T S T S
1–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 22%
30%
14%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
39%
27%
Both score Ø 36%
39%
32%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
0,9
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 8. · ST Johnstone 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 23 17 5 1 +30 56
2 Celtic 23 17 3 3 +34 54
3 Hearts 23 12 6 5 +14 42
4 Motherwell 23 9 5 9 -6 32
5 Hibernian 23 8 6 9 -1 30
6 Aberdeen 22 8 4 10 +0 28
7 Dundee United 23 8 4 11 -8 28
8 Livingston 23 7 5 11 -8 26
9 St Mirren 22 5 10 7 -11 25
10 Ross County 23 5 7 11 -7 22
11 Dundee 22 4 5 13 -21 17
12 ST Johnstone 22 3 6 13 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston ST Johnstone
11′
⚽ C. Hendry 0–1
D. Cleary
1–1 B. Anderson ⚽
A. Forrest
34′
Half-time 1–1
61′
🔁 J. Mahon
↦ L. Gordon
C. Chukwuemeka 🔁
↦ O. Bailey
65′
Bruce Anderson 🟨
66′
A. Shinnie 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
70′
71′
🔁 M. Davidson
↦ M. Hallberg
J. Nouble 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
80′
80′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ S. May
Ayo Obileye 🟨
84′
Jack Fitzwater 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Murray Davidson
Jon Nouble 🟨
89′
90′
⚽ A. Crawford 1–2
91′
🟨 Glenn Middleton
Jon Nouble 🟨
92′
Jon Nouble 🟥
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
5 J. Fitzwater D
29 J. Penrice D
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
17 A. Forrest F
33 S. Oméonga M
14 O. Bailey F
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
23 C. Chukwuemeka
22 A. Shinnie
19 J. Nouble
36 G. Maley
11 C. Montaño
15 M. Boyes
24 S. Kelly
16 A. Lewis
21 J. McMillan

Coach: D. Martindale

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
5 D. Cleary D
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
2 J. Brown M
34 J. Butterfield M
21 A. Crawford M
29 M. Hallberg M
7 S. May F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
16 J. Mahon
8 M. Davidson
14 G. Middleton
27 T. Sang
26 L. Craig
3 T. Gallacher
33 J. Hector-Ingram
15 C. Gilmour
12 E. Parish

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U
2,93
B ✓
3,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
3,03
U2,5
1,37
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.