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Süper Lig
Referee: K Gençerler
Rizespor
U T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 16. · Ankaragücü 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 8 5 2 1 +8 17
2 Trabzonspor 8 4 3 1 +7 15
3 Fenerbahce 8 4 2 2 +5 14
4 Buyuksehyr 8 4 2 2 +4 14
5 Yeni Malatyaspor 8 4 1 3 +8 13
6 Galatasaray 8 3 4 1 +1 13
7 Sivasspor 8 3 3 2 +4 12
8 Konyaspor 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Gaziantep 8 3 2 3 -4 11
10 Antalyaspor 8 3 2 3 -6 11
11 Goztep 8 2 3 3 +0 9
12 Besiktas 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Ankaragücü 8 2 3 3 -5 9
14 Denizlispor 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Kasimpasa 8 2 2 4 -4 8
16 Rizespor 8 2 2 4 -8 8
17 Genclerbirligi 8 1 3 4 +0 6
18 Kayserispor 8 0 4 4 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Ankaragücü
27′
🟨 Alihan Kubalas
1–0 Samu
28′
I. Diomandé 🔁
↦ A. Durak
29′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Karabulut
↦ H. Kaya
Oğulcan Çağlayan 🟨
50′
52′
🟨 Ante Kulušić
2–0 Rick Boldrin
J. Attamah
60′
75′
🟨 İlhan Parlak
A. Umar 🔁
↦ Samu
78′
N. De Pauw 🔁
↦ Rick Boldrin
86′
86′
🔁 A. Önal
↦ Tiago Pinto
91′
🔁 A. Arık
↦ S. Kitsiou
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rizespor

4-3-3
23 G. Akkan G
55 M. Moroziuk D
3 M. Aberhoune D
53 D. Melnjak D
4 M. Talbi D
5 A. Durak M
44 A. Vetrih M
10 Rick Boldrin F
6 J. Attamah M
17 O. Çağlayan F
18 Samu F
Bench (10)
27 I. Diomandé
19 A. Umar
11 N. De Pauw
28 B. Albayrak
70 Yan Sasse
77 O. Ovacıklı
66 O. Güçtekin
8 A. Akkaynak
13 T. Çetin
24 B. Alıcı

Coach: İ. Kartal

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
1 K. Çelikay G
22 M. Pazdan D
13 A. Kulusic D
8 Tiago Pinto M
4 M. Sak D
70 S. Kitsiou M
5 A. Kubalas D
14 R. Faty M
23 İ. Parlak M
12 D. Orgill F
28 H. Kaya
Bench (10)
20 A. Karabulut
45 A. Önal
27 A. Arık
17 E. Aygören
2 Y. Ayhan
61 B. Evren
95 Z. Sadaev
11 M. Akan
99 F. Bekleviç
19 C. Karayel

Coach: M. Diyadin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,02
B
5,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.