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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
Denizlispor
T S S U S
1–5
Full-time
Alanyaspor
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,2
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
27%
33%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Denizlispor 11. · Alanyaspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 16 10 4 2 +18 34
2 Buyuksehyr 16 8 6 2 +11 30
3 Fenerbahce 16 8 4 4 +12 28
4 Besiktas 16 8 3 5 +2 27
5 Trabzonspor 15 7 5 3 +11 26
6 Galatasaray 16 6 6 4 +3 24
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 16 6 5 5 +10 23
8 Alanyaspor 15 6 5 4 +10 23
9 Goztep 16 6 5 5 +0 23
10 Gaziantep 16 6 5 5 -2 23
11 Denizlispor 15 6 3 6 +0 21
12 Rizespor 16 6 2 8 -9 20
13 Genclerbirligi 16 4 6 6 -1 18
14 Kasimpasa 16 4 3 9 -4 15
15 Konyaspor 15 3 6 6 -7 15
16 Antalyaspor 16 3 5 8 -13 14
17 Ankaragücü 16 2 5 9 -19 11
18 Kayserispor 16 2 4 10 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Alanyaspor
27′
🟨 Ceyhun Gülselam
35′
Welinton 0–1
S. Uçan
42′
Welinton 0–2
J. Fernándes
43′
Djalma 0–3
Baiano
Half-time 0–3
I. Aissati 🔁
↦ I. Sackey
46′
54′
🟨 Fabrice N'Sakala
Tiago Lopes 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 P. Cissé
↦ J. Fernándes
Mehmet Akyüz 🔁
↦ H. Sacko
72′
76′
🔁 M. Çağıran
↦ C. Gülselam
78′
P. Cissé 0–4
M. Çağıran
1–4 O. Estupiñán
I. Aissati
83′
84′
🔁 O. Bulut
↦ S. Uçan
86′
O. Bulut 1–5
E. Karaca
90′
🟨 Efecan Karaca
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-2-3-1
33 A. Stachowiak G
22 C. Săpunaru D
61 Z. Yavru D
2 Tiago Lopes D
15 O. Yılmaz D
8 R. Murawski M
90 I. Sackey M
7 H. Rodallega F
77 Modou Barrow M
9 H. Sacko M
19 O. Estupiñán M
Bench (10)
10 I. Aissati
17 Mehmet Akyüz
6 M. Mbamba
20 R. Niyaz
25 T. Acar
70 O. Şahan
27 E. Sağlık
24 B. Çalık
4 K. Kurt
11 S. Şahintürk

Coach: M. Özdilek

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
14 Baiano D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
44 S. Caulker D
7 E. Karaca M
6 C. Gülselam M
8 S. Uçan M
30 Djalma M
10 J. Fernándes F
11 A. Bakasetas M
Bench (10)
9 P. Cissé
35 M. Çağıran
25 O. Bulut
17 K. Kanak
31 G. Tzavellas
1 H. Yılmaz
34 E. Birniçan
27 U. Güneş
82 H. Özdemir
71 V. Ünal

Coach: E. Bulut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U
3,32
B ✓
2,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.