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Süper Lig
Referee: Halis Ozkahya
Ankaragücü
T T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
17%
58%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
42%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 20. · Besiktas 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 14 8 3 3 +14 27
2 Galatasaray 13 8 2 3 +13 26
3 Fenerbahce 14 8 2 4 +7 26
4 Gaziantep 13 6 6 1 +9 24
5 Besiktas 12 7 1 4 +6 22
6 Hatayspor 13 6 3 4 -2 21
7 Karagumruk 13 5 5 3 +6 20
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Trabzonspor 14 5 5 4 -1 20
10 Konyaspor 13 5 3 5 +4 18
11 Goztep 14 4 6 4 +3 18
12 Rizespor 13 5 3 5 -2 18
13 Kasimpasa 14 5 3 6 -5 18
14 Sivasspor 13 4 5 4 +0 17
15 Antalyaspor 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Buyuksehyr 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Denizlispor 13 3 3 7 -9 12
18 Genclerbirligi 13 3 3 7 -10 12
19 Kayserispor 13 2 4 7 -9 10
20 Ankaragücü 12 2 3 7 -6 9
21 Erzurumspor 14 2 3 9 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Besiktas
Ş. Çetin 🔁
↦ E. Güral
40′
Half-time 0–0
E. Dikmen 🔁
↦ S. Kitsiou
46′
61′
⚽ D. Vida 0–1
R. Ghezzal
62′
🔁 G. N'Koudou
↦ R. Ghezzal
J. Bolingi 🔁
↦ T. Børven
67′
J. Paintsil 🔁
↦ E. Çekiçi
67′
73′
🔁 D. Toköz
↦ B. Mensah
A. Dioussé 🔁
↦ I. Voca
78′
83′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ C. Larin
83′
🔁 R. Yılmaz
↦ F. NSakala
Şahverdi Çetin 🟨
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-1-4-1
25 Ricardo Friedrich G
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
50 Z. Šarlija D
35 D. Łukasik M
88 E. Çekiçi M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
42 I. Voca M
6 A. Çankaya D
77 E. Güral M
22 T. Børven F
Bench (10)
18 Ş. Çetin
4 E. Dikmen
9 J. Bolingi
28 J. Paintsil
14 A. Dioussé
10 O. Çınar
19 C. Karayel
89 A. Turan
1 K. Çelikay
17 E. Aygören

Coach: N. Erkmen

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
18 R. Ghezzal M
43 B. Mensah M
14 V. Aboubakar F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
7 G. N'Koudou
26 D. Toköz
9 G. Yalçın
33 R. Yılmaz
10 O. Özyakup
41 K. Yılmaz
61 E. Bilgin
4 Javi Montero
20 N. Uysal
27 A. Üner

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,31
U
3,81
B ✓
1,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Halis Ozkahya · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.