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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Hearts
S T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Ross County
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
47%
21%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
32%
63%
Both score Ø 55%
47%
63%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Ross County 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 19 15 3 1 +27 48
2 Celtic 20 14 3 3 +30 45
3 Hearts 19 9 6 4 +10 33
4 Motherwell 19 8 4 7 -3 28
5 Hibernian 19 7 5 7 +0 26
6 Dundee United 19 7 4 8 -5 25
7 Aberdeen 19 7 3 9 +0 24
8 Livingston 19 5 5 9 -9 20
9 St Mirren 19 3 10 6 -11 19
10 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -7 18
11 Dundee 19 4 4 11 -18 16
12 ST Johnstone 20 3 5 12 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Ross County
1–0 M. Smith
4′
2–0 B. Woodburn
P. Haring
42′
44′
🟨 Jack Baldwin
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Burroughs
↦ D. Cancola
S. Kingsley 🔁
↦ C. Halkett
50′
J. Walker 🔁
↦ A. McEneff
56′
70′
🟨 Harry Clarke
72′
J. White 2–1
J. Hungbo
75′
🟨 Blair Spittal
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ B. Woodburn
78′
83′
🔁 A. Samuel
↦ D. Samuel
Andy Halliday 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-3
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith M
4 J. Souttar D
19 C. Halkett D
15 T. Moore M
17 A. Cochrane D
16 A. Halliday M
5 P. Haring M
8 A. McEneff F
18 B. McKay F
9 B. Woodburn F
Bench (6)
3 S. Kingsley
7 J. Walker
11 G. Mackay-Steven
39 L. MacFarlane
25 C. Logan
21 A. Gnanduillet

Coach: R. Neilson

Ross County

4-2-3-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
5 J. Baldwin D
2 C. Randall D
3 J. Vokins D
7 B. Spittal M
4 D. Cancola M
17 R. Charles-Cook M
20 H. Clarke D
23 J. Hungbo M
26 J. White F
10 D. Samuel M
Bench (5)
18 J. Burroughs
9 A. Samuel
25 C. Donaldson
21 R. Munro
24 B. Paton

Coach: M. Mackay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,00
B
5,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.