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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
3–1
Full-time
Tirol
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 29%
35%
23%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 5. · Tirol 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 31 19 7 5 +39 64
2 Sturm Graz 31 18 10 3 +31 64
3 LASK 31 14 10 7 +16 52
4 SK Rapid 31 11 12 8 +15 45
5 Wolfsberger AC 31 11 10 10 +0 43
6 Austria Vienna 31 11 10 10 +0 43
7 Hartberg 31 11 9 11 -6 42
8 A. Klagenfurt 31 9 12 10 -8 39
9 BW Linz 31 7 11 13 -14 32
10 Altach 31 6 12 13 -13 30
11 Tirol 31 7 5 19 -24 26
12 A. Lustenau 31 4 8 19 -36 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsberger AC Tirol
Half-time 0–0
A. Boakye 🔁
↦ S. Altunashvili
46′
T. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ A. Jašić
46′
L. Ibertsberger 🔁
↦ M. Diabaté
46′
48′
F. Bacher 0–1
M. Taferner
1–1 A. Boakye
48′
50′
🟨 Johannes Naschberger
2–1 S. Piesinger
E. Omić
57′
58′
🟨 Denis Tomić
Lukas Ibertsberger ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
72′
73′
🔁 S. Škrbo
↦ D. Tomic
73′
🔁 K. Schulz
↦ T. Geris
74′
🔁 L. Kronberger
↦ A. Ranacher
T. Gruber 🔁
↦ S. Kennedy
78′
79′
🟥 Adam Stejskal
81′
🔁 P. Schermer
↦ J. Naschberger
84′
🟥 Luca Kronberger
M. Morgenstern 🔁
↦ M. Scharfetter
86′
87′
🔁 M. Diarra
↦ N. Prelec
3–1 E. Omić
T. Sabitzer
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-1-2
32 L. Gütlbauer G
22 D. Baumgartner D
44 E. Omić D
8 S. Piesinger D
5 M. Diabaté M
19 S. Altunashvili M
14 P. Müller M
4 S. Kennedy M
97 A. Jašić F
77 M. Scharfetter F
11 T. Ballo F
Bench (7)
20 A. Boakye
10 T. Sabitzer
26 L. Ibertsberger
13 T. Gruber
15 M. Morgenstern
12 S. Karamoko
21 D. Skubl

Coach: M. Schmid

Tirol

3-4-2-1
40 A. Stejskal G
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
3 D. Gugganig D
14 A. Ranacher M
17 J. Naschberger M
4 V. Müller M
28 T. Geris M
30 M. Taferner F
18 D. Tomic F
9 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
23 S. Škrbo
44 K. Schulz
7 L. Kronberger
1 P. Schermer
8 M. Diarra
11 A. Buksa
6 L. Sulzbacher

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.