The model's reading of the match in plain language: expected goals, favourite probability and what the form says.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Alcazar
Talayuela
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pinatar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 3 |
| 2 |
Lebrijana
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Anaitasuna
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 4 |
Prat
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Atletico Calatayud
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Auriense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Alcazar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Hortaleza
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Ribadesella CF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Maracena
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Tavernes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Talayuela
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Güímar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Noja
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Baztán
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
CD San Jose
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
San Rafael
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 |
Ceuta 6 de Junio
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 |
Tedeón
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 |
Atlético Melilla
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Not assigned yet — referee appointments are usually published in the last 24 hours before kick-off, and the referee stats will appear here then.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.