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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Valladolid
U S T U U
1–3
Full-time
Huesca
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 13%
20%
5%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
40%
25%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 16. · Huesca 20. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 18 15 2 1 +28 47
2 Real Madrid 19 12 4 3 +18 40
3 Barcelona 19 11 4 4 +22 37
4 Sevilla 19 11 3 5 +10 36
5 Villarreal 20 8 10 2 +9 34
6 Sociedad 20 8 7 5 +13 31
7 Granada 20 8 4 8 -10 28
8 Betis 20 8 3 9 -8 27
9 Ath Bilbao 19 7 3 9 +3 24
10 Celta 20 6 6 8 -7 24
11 Cadiz 20 6 6 8 -10 24
12 Levante 19 5 8 6 -1 23
13 Getafe 19 6 5 8 -6 23
14 Valencia 20 4 8 8 -3 20
15 Eibar 20 4 8 8 -4 20
16 Valladolid 20 4 8 8 -9 20
17 Osasuna 20 4 7 9 -10 19
18 Alaves 20 4 6 10 -11 18
19 Elche 18 3 8 7 -9 17
20 Huesca 20 1 10 9 -15 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Huesca
23′
🟨 Gastón Silva
30′
🟨 Idrissa Doumbia
Míchel Herrero 🟨
33′
37′
⚽ Rafa Mir 0–1
Pablo Maffeo
Half-time 0–1
Sergi Guardiola 🔁
↦ Óscar Plano
46′
50′
⚽ Rafa Mir 0–2
Pablo Maffeo
54′
🔁 Dani Escriche
↦ S. Okazaki
57′
⚽ Rafa Mir 0–3
Dani Escriche
Toni Villa 🔁
↦ S. Weissman
62′
K. Kodro 🔁
↦ F. Orellana
62′
Pablo Hervías 🔁
↦ Luis Pérez
62′
Nacho Martinez 🟨
64′
75′
🔁 Pedro López
↦ Pablo Maffeo
75′
🔁 David Ferreiro
↦ I. Doumbia
Oriol Rey 🔁
↦ Míchel
76′
86′
🔁 Sergio Gómez
↦ Mikel Rico
86′
🔁 Borja García
↦ Rafa Mir
1–3 Toni Villa ⚽
Pablo Hervías
93′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
1 Jordi Masip G
22 Nacho Martínez D
6 Bruno D
2 Luis Pérez D
12 F. Orellana M
21 Míchel M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
24 Joaquín Fernández D
8 Kike Pérez M
10 Óscar Plano M
9 S. Weissman F
Bench (10)
7 Sergi Guardiola
19 Toni Villa
3 K. Kodro
11 Pablo Hervías
29 Oriol Rey
28 Ignasi Vilarrasa
27 Kuki
23 Waldo Rubio
13 Roberto Jiménez
15 J. El Yamiq

Coach: Sergio

Huesca

3-5-2
1 Álvaro Fernández G
18 D. Siovas D
14 Jorge Pulido D
22 G. Silva D
3 Pablo Maffeo M
11 Javier Galán M
17 Mikel Rico M
20 Jaime Seoane M
2 I. Doumbia M
12 S. Okazaki F
9 Rafa Mir F
Bench (7)
23 Dani Escriche
19 Pedro López
7 David Ferreiro
10 Sergio Gómez
24 Borja García
25 Andrés Fernández
26 K. Nwakali

Coach: Pacheta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U
3,14
B ✓
3,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.