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Serie A

Referee: M Mariani

Salernitana

T S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Venezia

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Venezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 17%

18%

15%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

59%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

59%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

2,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

19 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Salernitana 18. · Venezia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	35	23	8	4	+31	77
2	Inter	35	22	9	4	+45	75
3	Napoli	35	21	7	7	+36	70
4	Juventus	35	20	9	6	+23	69
5	Lazio	35	17	8	10	+17	59
6	Roma	35	17	8	10	+15	59
7	Atalanta	35	15	11	9	+18	56
8	Fiorentina	35	17	5	13	+7	56
9	Verona	35	14	10	11	+9	52
10	Torino	35	12	11	12	+8	47
11	Sassuolo	35	12	10	13	-1	46
12	Udinese	35	10	13	12	+0	43
13	Bologna	35	11	10	14	-9	43
14	Empoli	35	9	10	16	-19	37
15	Sampdoria	35	9	6	20	-15	33
16	Spezia	35	9	6	20	-26	33
17	Cagliari	35	6	10	19	-32	28
18	Salernitana	34	6	8	20	-42	26
19	Genoa	35	3	16	16	-30	25
20	Venezia	34	5	7	22	-35	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	17	12	3	2	+27	39
2	Milan	18	11	4	3	+14	37
3	Fiorentina	17	11	2	4	+14	35
4	Roma	18	10	5	3	+10	35
5	Juventus	18	10	4	4	+11	34
6	Napoli	18	10	3	5	+18	33
7	Lazio	17	9	5	3	+15	32
8	Verona	17	9	3	5	+12	30
9	Torino	17	8	5	4	+12	29
10	Bologna	18	8	4	6	+3	28
11	Udinese	18	6	7	5	+3	25
12	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+0	23
13	Atalanta	18	4	8	6	+3	20
14	Spezia	17	5	3	9	-4	18
15	Sampdoria	18	5	3	10	-6	18
16	Empoli	18	4	4	10	-16	16
17	Cagliari	18	3	6	9	-11	15
18	Genoa	17	2	8	7	-11	14
19	Salernitana	16	2	5	9	-19	11
20	Venezia	17	2	4	11	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	17	12	4	1	+17	40
2	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+18	37
3	Inter	18	10	6	2	+18	36
4	Atalanta	17	11	3	3	+15	36
5	Juventus	17	10	5	2	+12	35
6	Lazio	18	8	3	7	+2	27
7	Roma	17	7	3	7	+5	24
8	Sassuolo	18	6	5	7	-1	23
9	Verona	18	5	7	6	-3	22
10	Empoli	17	5	6	6	-3	21
11	Fiorentina	18	6	3	9	-7	21
12	Udinese	17	4	6	7	-3	18
13	Torino	18	4	6	8	-4	18
14	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-9	15
15	Bologna	17	3	6	8	-12	15
16	Spezia	18	4	3	11	-22	15
17	Salernitana	18	4	3	11	-23	15
18	Cagliari	17	3	4	10	-21	13
19	Venezia	17	3	3	11	-17	12
20	Genoa	18	1	8	9	-19	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.