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Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Verona
T T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Cremonese
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 3%
6%
0%
Points per game
0,4
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
69%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 20. · Cremonese 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Juventus 17 11 4 2 +19 37
3 Milan 17 11 4 2 +15 37
4 Inter 17 11 1 5 +13 34
5 Lazio 17 9 4 4 +14 31
6 Roma 17 9 4 4 +5 31
7 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 +7 28
8 Udinese 17 6 7 4 +6 25
9 Fiorentina 17 6 5 6 -1 23
10 Torino 17 6 5 6 -1 23
11 Lecce 17 4 7 6 -2 19
12 Bologna 16 5 4 7 -6 19
13 Empoli 17 4 7 6 -7 19
14 Salernitana 17 4 6 7 -6 18
15 Monza 17 5 3 9 -6 18
16 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 -9 16
17 Spezia 17 3 6 8 -12 15
18 Sampdoria 17 2 3 12 -22 9
19 Cremonese 16 0 7 9 -16 7
20 Verona 16 1 3 12 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Cremonese
1–0 D. Lazović
Y. Kallon
9′
Yayah Kallon 🟨
23′
2–0 D. Lazović
J. Doig
26′
31′
🟨 Michele Castagnetti
Half-time 2–0
54′
🟨 Leonardo Sernicola
60′
🔁 D. Okereke
↦ C. Buonaiuto
61′
🔁 F. Tsadjout
↦ C. Dessers
61′
🔁 F. Afena-Gyan
↦ L. Zanimacchia
Milan Đurić 🟨
63′
63′
🔁 S. Ascacíbar
↦ M. Castagnetti
S. Verdi 🔁
↦ Y. Kallon
66′
I. Sulemana 🔁
↦ I. Ilić
66′
73′
🟨 Luka Lochoshvili
R. Piccoli 🔁
↦ M. Đurić
74′
G. Magnani 🔁
↦ F. Ceccherini
75′
F. Terracciano 🔁
↦ D. Lazović
82′
83′
🔁 D. Ciofani
↦ L. Lochoshvili
Simone Verdi 🟨
87′
90′
🟨 David Okereke
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Verona

3-4-2-1
1 L. Montipò G
27 P. Dawidowicz D
6 I. Hien D
17 F. Ceccherini D
29 F. Depaoli M
14 I. Ilić M
61 A. Tamèze M
3 J. Doig M
30 Y. Kallon F
8 D. Lazović F
19 M. Đurić F
Bench (12)
7 S. Verdi
77 I. Sulemana
20 R. Piccoli
23 G. Magnani
24 F. Terracciano
32 J. Cabal
42 D. Coppola
4 Miguel Veloso
34 S. Perilli
22 A. Berardi
9 T. Henry
21 K. Günter

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Cremonese

4-2-3-1
12 M. Carnesecchi G
17 L. Sernicola D
24 A. Ferrari D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
3 E. Valeri M
90 C. Dessers F
Bench (12)
77 D. Okereke
74 F. Tsadjout
20 F. Afena-Gyan
8 S. Ascacíbar
9 D. Ciofani
18 P. Ghiglione
2 J. Hendry
45 M. Sarr
13 G. Saro
62 T. Milanese
33 G. Quagliata
4 E. Aiwu

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,38
B
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.