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Serie A

Referee: R Abisso

Verona

S U U U T

0–2

Full-time

Cagliari

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,2

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 24%

27%

21%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

52%

48%

Both score Ø 46%

39%

52%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,30 xG 1,94

55% Possession 45%

6 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Verona 14. · Cagliari 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	34	22	8	4	+29	+20.0	74
2	Inter	34	21	8	5	+39	+30.6	71
3	Atalanta	34	19	8	7	+36	+24.5	65
4	Juventus	34	16	14	4	+20	+13.9	62
5	Bologna	34	16	13	5	+15	+13.1	61
6	Roma	34	17	9	8	+17	+12.5	60
7	Fiorentina	34	17	8	9	+19	+5.6	59
8	Lazio	33	17	8	8	+12	+13.8	59
9	Milan	34	15	9	10	+15	+19.4	54
10	Torino	34	10	13	11	-1	-15.1	43
11	Como	34	11	9	14	-4	+2.8	42
12	Udinese	34	11	8	15	-12	-10.2	41
13	Genoa	34	9	12	13	-12	-8.1	39
14	Verona	33	9	5	19	-30	-16.9	32
15	Parma	33	6	13	14	-13	-15.3	31
16	Cagliari	33	7	9	17	-16	-12.2	30
17	Lecce	34	6	9	19	-32	-22.5	27
18	Venezia	34	4	13	17	-21	-17.5	25
19	Empoli	34	4	13	17	-27	-16.8	25
20	Monza	34	2	9	23	-34	-21.6	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	17	13	2	2	+17	+15.2	41
2	Inter	17	12	3	2	+18	+14.7	39
3	Juventus	18	10	7	1	+14	+9.4	37
4	Fiorentina	18	11	4	3	+13	+8.5	37
5	Bologna	17	10	6	1	+17	+14.8	36
6	Roma	17	11	2	4	+19	+10.5	35
7	Atalanta	17	8	5	4	+12	+11.1	29
8	Milan	17	7	7	3	+10	+9.5	28
9	Lazio	16	7	7	2	+8	+10.2	28
10	Como	17	7	5	5	+2	+2.1	26
11	Torino	16	6	6	4	+3	-6.5	24
12	Udinese	17	7	3	7	-3	-5.1	24
13	Genoa	17	5	7	5	-2	-1.9	22
14	Parma	17	5	5	7	-2	-2.8	20
15	Cagliari	17	5	4	8	-6	-1.7	19
16	Venezia	17	4	5	8	-5	-2.4	17
17	Lecce	17	3	6	8	-18	-8.4	15
18	Verona	16	4	3	9	-19	-4.3	15
19	Empoli	16	1	7	8	-15	-7.8	10
20	Monza	17	1	5	11	-12	-6.7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	17	11	3	3	+24	+13.4	36
2	Napoli	17	9	6	2	+12	+4.7	33
3	Inter	17	9	5	3	+21	+15.8	32
4	Lazio	17	10	1	6	+4	+3.7	31
5	Milan	17	8	2	7	+5	+9.9	26
6	Juventus	16	6	7	3	+6	+4.6	25
7	Bologna	17	6	7	4	-2	-1.7	25
8	Roma	17	6	7	4	-2	+2.0	25
9	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	+6	-2.9	22
10	Torino	18	4	7	7	-4	-8.6	19
11	Udinese	17	4	5	8	-9	-5.0	17
12	Genoa	17	4	5	8	-10	-6.2	17
13	Verona	17	5	2	10	-11	-12.6	17
14	Como	17	4	4	9	-6	+0.7	16
15	Empoli	18	3	6	9	-12	-9.0	15
16	Lecce	17	3	3	11	-14	-14.2	12
17	Cagliari	16	2	5	9	-10	-10.4	11
18	Parma	16	1	8	7	-11	-12.5	11
19	Venezia	17	0	8	9	-16	-15.1	8
20	Monza	17	1	4	12	-22	-14.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.