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Eliteserien

Lillestrom

U T S U T

2–1

Full-time

Molde

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,8

This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

14%

57%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

29%

86%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,1

2,4

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 13. · Molde 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	8	6	1	1	+18	19
2	Stabaek	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Valerenga	8	4	2	2	+3	14
4	Molde	7	4	1	2	+10	13
5	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	Mjondalen	8	3	3	2	-1	12
7	Odd	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Viking	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Aalesund	7	3	1	3	-6	10
10	Stromsgodset	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Start	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Haugesund	7	2	2	3	-9	8
13	Lillestrom	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-3	6
15	Tromso	8	1	1	6	-7	4
16	Bodo/Glimt	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Mjondalen	5	3	1	1	+0	10
3	Molde	4	3	0	1	+9	9
4	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Stabaek	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Viking	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Start	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Valerenga	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Stromsgodset	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Odd	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Aalesund	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Haugesund	3	1	1	1	-5	4
14	Lillestrom	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Tromso	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Bodo/Glimt	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	3	0	1	+9	9
2	Stabaek	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Valerenga	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Odd	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Aalesund	4	2	0	2	-6	6
6	Lillestrom	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Molde	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Stromsgodset	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Haugesund	4	1	1	2	-4	4
11	Viking	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Tromso	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Mjondalen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Start	4	0	2	2	-5	2
15	Bodo/Glimt	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Sandefjord	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.