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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Cercle Brugge

T S T T S

3–1

Full-time

Patro Eisden

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Patro Eisden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 31/1 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

1,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

52%

100%

Both score Ø 76%

52%

100%

Average goals

2,7

6,0

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,6

5,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-4,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	20	6	3	+41	+38.5	66
2	St. Gilloise	29	19	7	3	+35	+28.7	64
3	Genk	29	18	4	7	+20	+16.7	58
4	Anderlecht	29	15	6	8	+25	+5.9	51
5	Antwerp	28	12	10	6	+13	-4.7	46
6	Charleroi	28	11	9	8	+7	+5.3	42
7	Dender	29	9	10	10	-6	-14.0	37
8	Cercle Brugge	31	9	9	13	-15	-1.6	36
9	Westerlo	29	9	8	12	+1	+1.9	35
10	Gent	29	9	8	12	-12	-11.9	35
11	Standard	29	7	11	11	-15	-11.3	32
12	Mechelen	29	7	10	12	-5	+5.9	31
13	St Truiden	30	7	8	15	-23	-6.5	29
14	Kortrijk	30	8	4	18	-23	-17.2	28
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	29	4	14	11	-14	-9.1	26
16	Beerschot VA	30	4	8	18	-25	-26.4	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	11	1	2	+20	+19.5	34
2	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
3	Genk	14	10	1	3	+15	+14.8	31
4	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+11	+7.7	27
5	Anderlecht	15	7	4	4	+15	+3.3	25
6	Cercle Brugge	15	6	5	4	-2	+5.2	23
7	Antwerp	14	6	3	5	+8	+2.3	21
8	St Truiden	15	5	6	4	-2	+1.7	21
9	Westerlo	14	5	5	4	+8	+12.0	20
10	Dender	14	5	5	4	+6	-2.6	20
11	Gent	15	6	2	7	-1	-2.4	20
12	Standard	15	5	5	5	-1	-2.2	20
13	Mechelen	15	4	7	4	+6	+9.3	19
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	9	3	+1	-0.3	18
15	Beerschot VA	15	4	6	5	-2	-10.2	18
16	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-6	-4.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+18	+15.7	34
2	St. Gilloise	15	8	6	1	+15	+9.2	30
3	Genk	15	8	3	4	+5	+1.9	27
4	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
5	Antwerp	14	6	7	1	+5	-7.0	25
6	Dender	15	4	5	6	-12	-11.4	17
7	Charleroi	14	3	6	5	-4	-2.4	15
8	Westerlo	15	4	3	8	-7	-10.1	15
9	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
10	Cercle Brugge	16	3	4	9	-13	-6.8	13
11	Mechelen	14	3	3	8	-11	-3.4	12
12	Standard	14	2	6	6	-14	-9.1	12
13	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	1	5	8	-15	-8.8	8
15	St Truiden	15	2	2	11	-21	-8.2	8
16	Beerschot VA	15	0	2	13	-23	-16.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.