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Champions League
Referee: G Kabakov
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
U S
1–0
Full-time
Malmo FF
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
5,5
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Malmo FF
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Zeidan
↦ V. Birmančević
1–0 F. Ourega ⚽
P. Mamić
49′
70′
🔁 O. Toivonen
↦ A. Christiansen
70′
🔁 H. Larsson
↦ S. Peña
70′
🔁 E. Larsson
↦ F. Beijmo
F. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ M. Oyewusi
73′
G. Jarusevičius 🔁
↦ F. Ourega
73′
74′
🔁 N. Moisander
↦ M. Olsson
D. Kazlauskas 🔁
↦ Renan Oliveira
82′
M. Kuklys 🔁
↦ O. Buff
82′
84′
🟨 Niklas Moisander
Nemanja Ljubisavljević 🟨
87′
J. Tadic 🔁
↦ M. Milićković
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
1 E. Gertmonas G
7 J. Bopesu M
3 M. Pavelić D
26 N. Ljubisavljević D
12 P. Mamić D
23 O. Buff M
33 M. Milićković M
5 N. Gorobsov M
92 F. Ourega M
99 M. Oyewusi F
10 Renan Oliveira F
Bench (12)
77 F. Kyeremeh
96 G. Jarusevičius
9 D. Kazlauskas
88 M. Kuklys
27 J. Tadic
6 D. Kashken
25 T. Duka
81 M. Mikulenas
13 S. Mikoliūnas
24 M. Burba
4 K. Kažukolovas
15 I. Tatomirović

Coach: V. Cheburin

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
14 F. Beijmo D
24 L. Nielsen D
21 D. Hadžikadunić D
13 M. Olsson D
8 S. Peña M
25 M. Siby M
10 A. Christiansen M
32 J. Inge Berget M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
19 V. Birmančević M
Bench (11)
20 M. Zeidan
11 O. Toivonen
31 H. Larsson
2 E. Larsson
4 N. Moisander
30 I. Diawara
7 E. Rakip
3 J. Knudsen
39 V. Andersson
23 M. Chaluš
36 P. Sejdiu

Coach: M. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.