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Champions League
Referee: C Çakιr
Ludogorets
S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

8 Corners 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ludogorets Dinamo Zagreb
6′
⚽ D. Perić 0–1
R. Lauritsen
9′
⚽ S. Padt 1–1
own goal
2–1 B. Tekpetey ⚽
22′
42′
🟨 Josip Mišić
Half-time 2–1
S. Sluga 🔁
↦ S. Padt
46′
D. Yankov 🔁
↦ Cauly
46′
46′
🔁 D. Špikić
↦ L. Ivanušec
Bernard Tekpetey 🟨
60′
60′
🔁 B. Petković
↦ J. Drmić
Olivier Verdon 🟨
65′
71′
🔁 L. Menalo
↦ M. Oršić
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ B. Tekpetey
73′
Kiril Despodov 🟨
74′
S. Delev 🔁
↦ Rick
79′
Thiago 🔁
↦ P. Sotiriou
79′
86′
🔁 B. Šutalo
↦ M. Baturina
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
4 Cicinho D
32 I. Plastun D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
82 I. Yordanov M
6 J. Piotrowski M
95 Cauly M
37 B. Tekpetey F
19 P. Sotiriou F
73 Rick M
Bench (10)
12 S. Sluga
64 D. Yankov
11 K. Despodov
90 S. Delev
9 Thiago
14 D. Gruper
10 M. Tissera
67 D. Hristov
5 G. Terziev
21 Ž. Karničnik

Coach: A. Šimundža

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
13 S. Ristovski D
6 R. Lauritsen D
55 D. Perić D
14 R. Ljubičić M
27 J. Mišić M
5 A. Ademi M
7 L. Ivanušec M
10 M. Baturina M
99 M. Oršić M
18 J. Drmić F
Bench (12)
77 D. Špikić
9 B. Petković
70 L. Menalo
4 B. Šutalo
33 I. Nevistić
12 P. Bočkaj
20 A. Marin
3 D. Štefulj
2 S. Moharrami
66 E. Dilaver
24 M. Tolić
1 D. Zagorac

Coach: A. Čačić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Çakιr · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.