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Champions League
Referee: César Soto
Valmiera / BSS
T T T
1–2
Full-time
Olimpija Ljubljana
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valmiera / BSS Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,4
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 21
8 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
0 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -23 Olimpija Ljubljana – Valmiera / BSS 2–1

Match report

Valmiera / BSS Olimpija Ljubljana
29′
🟨 Agustín Doffo
33′
⚽ Rui Pedro 0–1
M. Nukić
Half-time 0–1
Ruan 🔁
↦ M. Diop
46′
63′
🔁 N. Gavrić
↦ I. Posavec
64′
⚽ A. Muhamedbegović 0–2
T. Elšnik
67′
🔁 A. Bristrić
↦ Rui Pedro
67′
🔁 R. Florucz
↦ M. Nukić
A. Ndoye 🔁
↦ M. Toņiševs
71′
Gustavo 🔁
↦ R. Kapič
81′
1–2 C. Mena ⚽
82′
84′
🔁 J. Lasickas
↦ Jorge Silva
84′
🔁 N. Motika
↦ S. Sešlar
K. Čudars 🔁
↦ I. Zhelizko
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Valmiera / BSS

4-3-3
1 C. Olses G
23 M. Toņiševs D
2 D. Balodis D
3 N. Sliede D
17 P. Fall D
49 R. Kapič M
6 I. Zhelizko M
10 A. Jaunzems M
22 M. Diop F
75 Léo Gaúcho F
70 C. Mena F
Bench (12)
9 Ruan
24 A. Ndoye
7 Gustavo
8 K. Čudars
4 R. Veips
99 F. Kayramani
20 A. Ghanem
11 J. Peñaloza
27 E. Birka
28 I. Pūlis
26 K. Lauva
80 V. Diagne

Coach: J. Kalns

Olimpija Ljubljana

4-4-1-1
69 M. Vidovšek G
2 Jorge Silva D
14 M. Ratnik D
16 A. Muhamedbegović D
3 David Sualehe D
19 S. Sešlar M
34 A. Doffo M
10 T. Elšnik M
99 Rui Pedro M
21 I. Posavec F
9 M. Nukić F
Bench (12)
33 N. Gavrić
17 A. Bristrić
30 R. Florucz
8 J. Lasickas
20 N. Motika
22 D. Pintol
11 S. Fadida
37 Pedro Lucas
43 A. Krefl
31 Ž. Mauricio
77 A. Jakupović
6 M. Karamatić

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.