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Champions League
Referee: I Frid
Aris
S T S T U
6–2
Full-time
Bate Borisov
T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Bate Borisov
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
83%
25%
Both score Ø 54%
83%
25%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aris Bate Borisov
1–0 Y. Gomis ⚽
17′
2–0 L. Bengtsson ⚽
Caju
32′
2–1 S. Bane ⚽
own goal
39′
Half-time 2–1
M. Stępiński 🔁
↦ L. Bengtsson
46′
J. Szöke 🔁
↦ V. Nikolić
46′
48′
⚽ A. Kontsevoy 2–2
A. Kudravets
3–2 Y. Gomis ⚽
Caju
60′
62′
🔁 D. Laptev
↦ V. Malkevich
65′
⚽ R. Khadarkevich 3–3
V. Gromyko
70′
🔁 A. Martynov
↦ R. Khadarkevich
71′
🔁 D. Podstrelov
↦ D. Antilevskiy
72′
🟨 Denis Grechikho
J. Montnor 🔁
↦ S. Babicka
80′
M. Špoljarić 🔁
↦ Y. Gomis
80′
4–3 J. Montnor ⚽
M. Stępiński
83′
85′
🔁 S. Volkov
↦ S. Bane
85′
🔁 S. Islamović
↦ D. Grechikho
87′
🟨 Valeri Gromyko
M. Sané 🔁
↦ M. Mayambela
87′
89′
🟨 Sead Islamović
5–3 M. Stępiński ⚽
91′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Aris

3-4-2-1
1 Vaná G
20 S. Yago D
31 F. Brorsson D
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda D
21 M. Mayambela M
23 K. Struski M
22 V. Nikolić M
3 Caju M
80 S. Babicka F
7 L. Bengtsson F
14 Y. Gomis F
Bench (9)
11 M. Stępiński
37 J. Szöke
66 J. Montnor
10 M. Špoljarić
19 M. Sané
78 K. Chrysostomou
12 A. Demetriou
72 S. Urošević
90 E. Sofroniou

Coach: A. Shpilevskiy

Bate Borisov

4-3-3
35 A. Kudravets G
17 D. Nechaev D
3 R. Khadarkevich D
5 S. Bane D
14 S. Jimoh D
10 V. Gromyko M
15 V. Bocherov M
18 D. Grechikho M
44 V. Malkevich F
90 D. Antilevskiy F
80 A. Kontsevoy F
Bench (9)
55 D. Laptev
4 A. Martynov
23 D. Podstrelov
24 S. Volkov
50 S. Islamović
9 I. Vasilevich
99 M. Kovruk
51 V. Dergachev
13 A. Shestyuk

Coach: K. Alshevskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Frid · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.