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Champions League
Referee: O Berka
Rīgas FS
T S S T T
3–0
Full-time
Larne
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS Larne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Rīgas FS Larne
1–0 M. Ķigurs ⚽
J. Ikaunieks
29′
38′
🟨 Baris Altintop
42′
🟨 Aaron Donnelly
Half-time 1–0
D. Lemajič 🔁
↦ A. Markhiev
46′
Jānis Ikaunieks 🟨
47′
2–0 D. Balodis ⚽
S. Panič
48′
58′
🟨 Cian Bolger
3–0 S. Panič ⚽
60′
63′
🔁 J. Thomson
↦ D. Sloan
63′
🔁 S. Graham
↦ B. Altintop
C. Kouadio 🔁
↦ M. Ķigurs
69′
69′
🔁 M. Lusty
↦ C. McKendry
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio 🟨
75′
L. Odisharia 🔁
↦ I. Diomandé
77′
H. Njie 🔁
↦ J. Ikaunieks
78′
R. Ndjiki 🔁
↦ Emerson Deocleciano
86′
87′
🔁 P. O'Neill
↦ A. Ryan
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

3-4-3
40 F. Ondoa G
2 D. Balodis D
23 H. Prenga D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
9 J. Ikaunieks M
27 A. Markhiev M
26 S. Panič M
25 P. Mareš D
7 I. Diomandé M
49 M. Ķigurs M
10 Emerson Deocleciano M
Bench (10)
22 D. Lemajič
17 C. Kouadio
8 L. Odisharia
30 H. Njie
15 R. Ndjiki
16 S. Vilkovs
33 D. Cucurs
70 D. Savič
99 G. Žaleiko
1 P. Šteinbors

Coach: V. Morozs

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
5 B. Altintop D
18 C. Bolger D
3 L. Ives M
27 C. Gallagher M
4 A. Donnelly D
25 D. Sloan M
29 A. Ryan F
10 L. Bonis F
7 C. McKendry M
Bench (8)
6 J. Thomson
11 S. Graham
30 M. Lusty
9 P. O'Neill
24 S. Brown
22 M. Glynn
36 D. Graham
34 O. Devlin

Coach: T. Lynch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Berka · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.