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Europa League
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Sp Braga
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Betis
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 16/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
69%
60%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
25%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,26 xG 1,55
64% Possession 36%
7 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Braga Betis
1–0 F. Grillitsch ⚽
D. Rodrigues
5′
11′
🟨 Sofyan Amrabat
J. Moutinho 🔁
↦ D. Rodrigues
18′
Sikou Niakaté 🟨
23′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Antony
↦ S. Amrabat
57′
🟨 Marc Roca
Jean-Baptiste Gorby 🟨
60′
61′
⚽ Cucho Hernandez 1–1
63′
🔁 N. Deossa
↦ M. Roca
63′
🔁 S. Altimira
↦ A. Fidalgo
67′
🟨 Natan
Florian Grillitsch 🟨
72′
M. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ G. Martinez
77′
F. Navarro 🔁
↦ R. Horta
77′
78′
🔁 R. Riquelme
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
82′
🔁 C. Avila
↦ Cucho Hernandez
D. E. Tiknaz 🔁
↦ F. Grillitsch
84′
Gabriel Moscardo 🔁
↦ P. Victor
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hornicek G
14 G. Lagerbielke D
4 S. Niakate D
26 B. Arrey-Mbi D
2 V. Gomez M
29 Gorby M
27 F. Grillitsch M
77 G. Martinez M
21 R. Horta F
50 D. Rodrigues F
18 P. Victor F
Bench (12)
78 J. Carvalho
12 T. Sa
8 J. Moutinho
6 Vitor Carvalho
5 L. Lelo
41 Y. da Rocha
20 M. Dorgeles
15 P. Oliveira
39 F. Navarro
9 A. El Ouazzani
34 D. E. Tiknaz
17 Gabriel Moscardo

Coach: Carlos Vicens

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 P. Lopez G
24 A. Ruibal D
5 M. Bartra D
4 Natan D
12 R. Rodriguez D
14 S. Amrabat M
21 M. Roca M
8 P. Fornals M
15 A. Fidalgo M
10 A. Ezzalzouli M
19 Cucho Hernandez F
Bench (11)
1 A. Valles
13 Adrian
3 D. Llorente
9 C. Avila
7 Antony
18 N. Deossa
16 V. Gomez
2 H. Bellerin
17 R. Riquelme
6 S. Altimira
52 P. Garcia

Coach: Manuel Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.