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Conference League
Referee: A Palabıyık
Guimaraes
S S U T S
1–0
Full-time
HNK Hajduk Split
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes HNK Hajduk Split
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,0
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Corners 2
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 HNK Hajduk Split – Guimaraes 3–1

Match report

Guimaraes HNK Hajduk Split
1–0 Anderson Silva ⚽
5′
37′
🟨 Marko Livaja
40′
🟨 Stefan Simić
André Amaro 🟨
42′
Bruno Varela 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Josip Vuković
Half-time 1–0
Tiago Silva 🟨
46′
Jota Silva 🔁
↦ Antoñín Cortés
46′
46′
🔁 T. Borevković
↦ S. Simič
57′
🟨 David Čolina
59′
🟨 Toni Borevković
62′
🔁 S. Biuk
↦ D. Čolina
André Silva 🔁
↦ Anderson Silva
69′
N. Janvier 🔁
↦ Matheus Índio
69′
74′
🔁 C. Awaziem
↦ E. Sahiti
Tiago Silva 🟨
77′
Tiago Silva 🟥
77′
Nélson Luz 🔁
↦ R. Ogawa
81′
86′
🔁 G. Lovrencsics
↦ D. Mikanović
86′
🔁 J. Atanasov
↦ J. Vuković
M. Villanueva 🔁
↦ Miguel Maga
89′
91′
🟨 Stipe Biuk
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
14 Bruno Varela G
2 Miguel Maga D
13 André Amaro D
6 A. Mumin D
25 R. Ogawa D
70 André Almeida M
23 Matheus Índio M
10 Tiago Silva M
7 Rúben Lameiras M
33 Anderson Silva F
38 Antoñín Cortés F
Bench (11)
11 Jota Silva
17 André Silva
98 N. Janvier
20 Nélson Luz
3 M. Villanueva
53 Rafa
22 I. Bamba
63 Celton Biai
5 Hélder Sá
72 Afonso de Freitas
80 Dani Silva

Coach: João Aroso

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
91 L. Kalinić G
24 D. Mikanović D
8 S. Simič D
19 J. Elez D
17 D. Melnjak D
4 J. Vuković M
14 L. Grgic M
77 E. Sahiti M
23 F. Krovinović M
3 D. Čolina D
10 M. Livaja F
Bench (12)
5 T. Borevković
27 S. Biuk
25 C. Awaziem
26 G. Lovrencsics
20 J. Atanasov
29 J. Mlakar
18 I. Šarić
30 K. Sentić
15 K. Dimitrov
88 I. Ćubelić
22 I. Krolo
1 D. Subašić

Coach: V. Dambrauskas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.