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Conference League
Referee: O Reitala

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Corners 3
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Progres Niederkorn Gjilani
6′
🟨 Atdhe Rashiti
1–0 M. De Almeida
11′
Brian Amofa 🟨
19′
42′
🟨 Arbnor Ramadani
42′
🟨 Oltion Bilalli
Half-time 1–0
Hamadou Karamoko 🟨
47′
48′
A. Ramadani 1–1
2–1 O. Natami
62′
66′
🔁 E. Kqiku
↦ R. Ismaili
66′
A. Ramadani 2–2
Omar Natami 🟨
73′
C. Lybohy 🔁
↦ O. Natami
73′
75′
🔁 A. Halili
↦ A. Rashiti
81′
🔁 Elton Calé
↦ O. Bilalli
W. Jarmouni 🔁
↦ K. Mixtur
85′
S. Sanali 🔁
↦ A. Hanus
85′
94′
🟨 Edison Kqiku
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Progres Niederkorn

4-2-3-1
16 E. Latik G
18 A. Guett Guett D
4 H. Karamoko D
27 V. Peugnet D
38 M. Karayer D
12 B. Amofa M
24 E. Bijelic M
20 O. Natami F
19 A. Hanus F
17 M. De Almeida F
25 K. Mixtur F
Bench (11)
6 C. Lybohy
9 W. Jarmouni
70 S. Sanali
97 L. Figueiredo
28 J. Soares
10 B. Muratović
1 S. Flauss
30 Rodrigo Ribeiro
7 Y. Bastos
15 G. Mersch
8 Gilson Delgado

Coach: J. Strasser

Gjilani

4-3-3
1 A. Tafas G
22 P. Islami D
19 E. Sinani D
4 G. Jashari D
99 Y. Hoxha M
10 A. Ramadani M
23 B. Musolli M
8 R. Ismaili M
77 B. Zabërgja F
24 A. Rashiti F
7 O. Bilalli M
Bench (9)
17 E. Kqiku
3 A. Halili
11 Elton Calé
18 L. Rafuna
33 A. Prekazi
6 E. Xhemajli
21 E. Hyseni
30 A. Bllaca
20 A. Mateli

Coach: K. Duro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.