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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Odd
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Lillestrom
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
40%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
40%
56%
Both score Ø 48%
32%
64%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
21 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odd 8. · Lillestrom 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 26 17 6 3 +37 57
2 Molde 26 14 5 7 +14 47
3 Sarpsborg 08 26 11 11 4 +9 44
4 Stromsgodset 26 11 8 7 +3 41
5 Brann 26 11 7 8 +13 40
6 Haugesund 26 11 6 9 +2 39
7 Valerenga 26 10 6 10 +6 36
8 Odd 25 10 5 10 -7 35
9 Stabaek 26 9 7 10 -7 34
10 Sandefjord 26 10 3 13 -7 33
11 Lillestrom 25 8 7 10 -5 31
12 Kristiansund 26 7 9 10 -5 30
13 Sogndal 26 7 7 12 -8 28
14 Tromso 26 7 7 12 -14 28
15 Aalesund 26 6 8 12 -9 26
16 Viking 26 4 6 16 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Lillestrom
1–0 S. Haugen
E. Rashani
44′
Half-time 1–0
Jone Samuelsen 🟨
54′
J. Nilsen 🔁
↦ O. Berg
57′
O. Occéan 🔁
↦ S. Haugen
59′
61′
🔁 S. Mikalsen
↦ F. Krogstad
82′
🔁 M. Ebiye
↦ E. Knudtzon
90′
🟨 Simen Rafn
S. Mladenovic 🔁
↦ E. Rashani
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
5 T. Grøgaard D
4 V. Bergan D
8 J. Samuelsen M
7 M. Broberg F
20 E. Hussain M
6 O. Berg M
11 E. Rashani F
15 S. Haugen F
Bench (7)
18 J. Nilsen
10 O. Occéan
13 S. Mladenovic
25 J. Kitolano
26 A. Klemensson
27 P. Diouf
17 M. Kaasa

Coach: D. Fagermo

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
22 S. Antonijevic D
5 S. Rafn D
15 E. Brenden M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
8 C. Ezeh M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 M. Tagbajumi F
Bench (5)
3 S. Mikalsen
7 M. Ebiye
1 M. Marić
23 S. Udodji
24 E. Sandberg

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.