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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Odd
T T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odd 13. · Sarpsborg 08 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Molde 6 4 1 1 +4 13
3 Ranheim 5 4 0 1 +3 12
4 Rosenborg 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Tromso 6 3 1 2 +5 10
6 Haugesund 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Valerenga 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Stromsgodset 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Sarpsborg 08 5 2 2 1 +3 8
10 Kristiansund 6 1 3 2 -1 6
11 Sandefjord 6 1 2 3 -6 5
12 Lillestrom 6 1 1 4 -4 4
13 Odd 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Bodo/Glimt 6 1 1 4 -5 4
15 Stabaek 5 0 3 2 -6 3
16 Start 5 1 0 4 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Sarpsborg 08
1–0 E. Rashani
M. Kaasa
14′
24′
🟨 Kristoffer Zachariassen
37′
E. Ruud 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
T. Grøgaard 🔁
↦ John Kitolano
46′
3–0 E. Rashani
M. Kaasa
53′
58′
🔁 K. Larsen
↦ J. Tveita
B. Njie 🔁
↦ B. Risa
59′
4–0 M. Broberg
B. Njie
62′
71′
🔁 R. Muhammed
↦ T. Heintz
74′
🔁 M. Agger
↦ R. Schwartz
Elbasan Rashani 🟨
75′
O. Björtuft 🔁
↦ M. Broberg
79′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
4 V. Bergan D
25 John Kitolano D
14 F. Nordkvelle M
7 M. Broberg F
11 E. Rashani F
6 V. Hoff M
17 M. Kaasa M
9 B. Risa F
Bench (7)
5 T. Grøgaard
19 B. Njie
18 O. Björtuft
3 F. Semb Berge
12 V. Myhra
13 S. Mladenovic
16 Joshua Kitolano

Coach: D. Fagermo

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
31 A. Falch G
77 A. Askar D
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
6 J. Tamm D
23 H. Singh M
22 J. Tveita D
17 K. Zachariassen M
10 T. Heintz M
29 R. Schwartz F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
19 K. Larsen
27 R. Muhammed
18 M. Agger
14 M. Usman
4 B. Utvik
8 M. Lund Nielsen
21 A. Kristiansen

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.