Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kristiansund
Bryne
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kristiansund
|
16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 36 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | +16 | 35 |
| 3 |
Levanger
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 29 |
| 4 |
Asane
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 25 |
| 5 |
Strommen
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 24 |
| 6 |
Sandnes ULF
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |
Jerv
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 22 |
| 8 |
Mjondalen
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Kongsvinger
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +5 | 21 |
| 10 |
Ranheim
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 |
KFUM Oslo
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 12 |
hodd
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 |
Fredrikstad
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 17 |
| 14 |
Ull/Kisa
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +0 | 15 |
| 15 |
Raufoss
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |
Bryne
|
16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -13 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Ulvestad
A. Hopmark
M. Grødem
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Asane
Kristiansund
Kristiansund
Ull/Kisa
Sandnes ULF
Kristiansund
Kristiansund
Levanger
Sandefjord
Kristiansund
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.