Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kongsvinger
Ull/Kisa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | +17 | 39 |
| 2 |
Start
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +13 | 31 |
| 3 |
Sandnes ULF
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 |
Ranheim
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 29 |
| 5 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +1 | 23 |
| 6 |
Levanger
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +7 | 22 |
| 7 |
Floro
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |
Strommen
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Ull/Kisa
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 |
Mjondalen
|
16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 |
Kongsvinger
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 |
Jerv
|
16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 |
Elverum
|
16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -16 | 13 |
| 16 |
Arendal
|
16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Pålerud
F. Sjølstad
M. Ellingsen
N. Castro
Coach: H. Eriksen
S. Hagerup
Coach: V. Skogheim
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Asane
Kongsvinger
Elverum
Fredrikstad
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Levanger
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.