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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Ham-Kam
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 55%
88%
22%
Points per game
2,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
88%
56%
Both score Ø 71%
63%
78%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,8
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Ham-Kam 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 8 7 1 0 +15 22
2 Viking 9 6 1 2 +10 19
3 Sandnes ULF 9 5 3 1 +5 18
4 Ull/Kisa 9 4 3 2 +6 15
5 Asane 9 4 2 3 +1 14
6 Notodden 9 4 1 4 +1 13
7 Jerv 8 3 4 1 +1 13
8 Mjondalen 9 3 4 2 +1 13
9 Sogndal 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Ham-Kam 9 2 4 3 +0 10
11 Nest-Sotra 9 3 1 5 -2 10
12 Levanger 9 2 2 5 -7 8
13 Strommen 9 2 1 6 +0 7
14 Kongsvinger 9 2 1 6 -8 7
15 Tromsdalen Uil 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Floro 9 1 2 6 -17 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Ham-Kam
Half-time 0–1
55′
Rubén Alegre 0–1
59′
I. Rønning 0–2
R. Sandnes 🔁
↦ Nenass
68′
68′
🔁 A. Ibrahim
↦ S. Nordli
77′
🔁 P. Nersveen
↦ K. Onsrud
78′
🔁 O. Midtskogen
↦ I. Rønning
1–2 H. Guèye
81′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
6 K. Ramsteijn
4 S. Nattestad
22 A. Arnarson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
10 H. Fridjonsson
7 Nenass
17 S. Fet
14 H. Guèye
Bench (7)
20 R. Sandnes
13 T. Omenås
33 A. Waagan
36 E. Solnørdal
32 J. Fylling
34 T. Heggem
31 V. Vik

Coach: L. Bohinen

Ham-Kam

12 Ł. Jarosiński
4 J. Egeris
3 O. Ómarsson
13 Rubén Alegre
7 P. Moen
10 T. Hagen
22 K. Onsrud
17 S. Nordli
15 A. Dønnum
8 M. Solbakken
9 I. Rønning
Bench (6)
99 A. Ibrahim
27 P. Nersveen
11 O. Midtskogen
1 M. Jørgensen
5 L. Brotangen
20 J. Buduson

Coach: O. Knappen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.