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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Stromsgodset
T S U S U
2–3
Full-time
Kristiansund
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 11. · Kristiansund 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 16 10 5 1 +12 35
2 Rosenborg 16 10 3 3 +15 33
3 Molde 16 9 2 5 +14 29
4 Ranheim 16 9 2 5 +0 29
5 Haugesund 16 8 4 4 +7 28
6 Sarpsborg 08 16 7 5 4 +10 26
7 Tromso 16 8 2 6 +6 26
8 Valerenga 16 6 5 5 -6 23
9 Odd 16 6 2 8 +3 20
10 Kristiansund 15 5 5 5 +1 20
11 Stromsgodset 15 4 5 6 +0 17
12 Bodo/Glimt 16 3 7 6 -2 16
13 Lillestrom 16 3 5 8 -9 14
14 Stabaek 16 3 5 8 -12 14
15 Start 16 4 2 10 -17 14
16 Sandefjord 16 1 3 12 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Kristiansund
1–0 T. Nguen ⚽
J. Parr
6′
21′
⚽ B. Bye 1–1
L. Kalludra
24′
⚽ B. Bye 1–2
31′
⚽ B. Bye 1–3
Francisco Junior 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–3
55′
🟨 Bent Sormo
2–3 E. Andersen ⚽
T. Nguen
57′
64′
🔁 N. Baranov
↦ B. Sørmo
Bassel Jradi 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Sean McDermott
71′
🟨 Aliou Coly
A. Pellegrino 🔁
↦ M. Abdellaoue
77′
82′
🔁 B. Lepistu
↦ L. Kalludra
86′
🔁 S. Sørli
↦ T. Gjertsen
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-1-4-1
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
39 L. Sætra
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
Bench (7)
90 A. Pellegrino
36 H. Duman
17 C. Lindquist
20 P. Heigre
21 M. Gjerstrøm
25 S. Ringstad
28 M. Høibråten

Coach: T. Skullerud

Kristiansund

4-2-3-1
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad D
3 C. Aasbak D
17 A. Coly D
9 L. Kalludra M
18 S. Aasmundsen M
22 B. Sørmo D
21 A. Diop M
13 B. Bye F
11 D. Bamba F
7 T. Gjertsen M
Bench (7)
27 N. Baranov
6 B. Lepistu
24 S. Sørli
12 A. Vaikla
2 J. Bjerkås
15 E. Sivertsen
20 B. Stokke

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.