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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: E Bodding
Tromso
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Øygarden
T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Øygarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
33%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,0
6,0
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
0,7
3,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
1,8
6,0
Scored
1,5
2,8
Conceded
0,3
3,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Tromso 1. · Øygarden 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 4 4 0 0 +5 12
2 Ranheim 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Sandnes ULF 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Lillestrom 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 KFUM Oslo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Sogndal 4 2 0 2 +4 6
7 Stjørdals-Blink 4 2 0 2 +1 6
8 Grorud 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Asane 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Jerv 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Ull/Kisa 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Raufoss 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Øygarden 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Kongsvinger 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 Strommen 4 1 0 3 -7 3
16 Ham-Kam 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Øygarden
1–0 K. Antonsen
27′
31′
🔁 M. Udeh
↦ B. Haugsdal
A. Jenssen 🔁
↦ S. Wangberg
39′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 E. H. Larsen
49′
🟨 A. van der Spa
J. Gundersen 🟨
52′
62′
🔁 S. Marthinussen
↦ C. Ezeh
62′
🔁 T. Økland
↦ E. Larsen
62′
🔁 E. Vetås
↦ P. Michael
M. Ahamed 🔁
↦ F. Azemi
65′
I. Hansen-Aarøen 🔁
↦ M. Andersen
65′
74′
🔁 A. Fantoft
↦ F. Flo
83′
🟨 S. Marthinussen
S. Opsahl 🔁
↦ D. Berntsen
84′
92′
🟨 M. Udeh
K. Antonsen 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tromso

1 J. Karlstrøm
22 S. Wangberg
39 L. Sætra
4 J. Gundersen
11 R. Jenssen
15 M. Andersen
8 K. Antonsen
25 L. Nilsen
21 E. Kitolano
17 D. Berntsen
7 F. Azemi
Bench (7)
5 A. Jenssen
19 M. Ahamed
23 I. Hansen-Aarøen
18 S. Opsahl
10 M. Ingebrigtsen
24 T. Hafstad
12 E. Jacobsen

Coach: G. Helstrup

Øygarden

1 B. Thomas
5 B. Haugsdal
3 F. Flo
2 E. Larsen
27 A. van der Spa
7 P. Nergaard
10 M. Abelsen
12 C. Ezeh
9 M. Andersen
17 P. Michael
19 A. Heggebø
Bench (7)
20 M. Udeh
8 S. Marthinussen
14 T. Økland
23 E. Vetås
6 A. Fantoft
11 K. Spence
30 M. Berntzen

Coach: B. Lazaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.