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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Kellerhals
Lillestrom
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Øygarden
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Øygarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 39%
56%
21%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
0,9
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 3. · Øygarden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 19 14 2 3 +26 44
2 Sogndal 18 11 3 4 +18 36
3 Lillestrom 18 10 5 3 +14 35
4 Ranheim 17 11 1 5 +22 34
5 Asane 17 8 4 5 +11 28
6 Sandnes ULF 19 8 4 7 -7 28
7 Stjørdals-Blink 19 7 5 7 +0 26
8 Grorud 19 6 6 7 -2 24
9 Jerv 18 6 6 6 -8 24
10 KFUM Oslo 19 6 5 8 -6 23
11 Raufoss 19 5 7 7 -1 22
12 Strommen 19 6 3 10 -9 21
13 Ham-Kam 19 4 5 10 -10 17
14 Ull/Kisa 18 4 5 9 -14 17
15 Øygarden 19 4 5 10 -16 17
16 Kongsvinger 19 3 4 12 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Øygarden
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Olsen
46′
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
46′
2–0 T. Kallevåg
47′
3–0 F. Krogstad
58′
63′
🔁 K. Haga
↦ T. Økland
63′
🔁 A. Agouda
↦ K. Stava
73′
🟨 K. Jablinski
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
78′
L. Ranger 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
78′
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
78′
78′
🔁 B. Pedersen
↦ E. Larsen
J. Brunes 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
83′
85′
🔁 A. Fantoft
↦ C. Ezeh
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

25 J. Coppens
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
22 P. Slørdahl
33 A. Melgalvis
7 T. Kallevåg
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (9)
21 M. Knudsen
11 T. Svendsen
26 L. Ranger
18 U. Mathisen
20 J. Brunes
3 S. Mikalsen
12 M. Christiansen
28 A. Tongnoy
39 S. Bakken

Coach: G. Bakke

Øygarden

1 B. Thomas
5 B. Haugsdal
14 T. Økland
3 F. Flo
2 E. Larsen
9 K. Jablinski
7 P. Nergaard
12 C. Ezeh
8 S. Marthinussen
19 A. Heggebø
10 K. Stava
Bench (7)
22 K. Haga
27 A. Agouda
18 B. Pedersen
6 A. Fantoft
20 M. Udeh
30 M. Berntzen
17 K. Bidne

Coach: M. Mjelde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.