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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Arsenal
T S
0–0
Full-time
Liverpool
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
19 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 8
5 Offside 4
2 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 14. · Liverpool 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Leicester 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Crystal Palace 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Swansea 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Everton 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 West Ham 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Watford 3 0 3 0 +0 3
12 Bournemouth 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Tottenham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Stoke 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Newcastle 3 0 2 1 -2 2
18 Southampton 3 0 2 1 -3 2
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 West Brom 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal Liverpool
Half-time 0–0
61′
🟨 Martin Škrtel
63′
🔁 J. Ibe
↦ Roberto Firmino
Gabriel Paulista 🟨
65′
66′
🟨 Emre Can
T. Walcott 🔁
↦ O. Giroud
73′
76′
🔁 J. Rossiter
↦ Lucas Leiva
79′
🟨 Joe Gomez
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 🔁
↦ F. Coquelin
82′
85′
🟨 Simon Mignolet
88′
🔁 Alberto Moreno
↦ Philippe Coutinho
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

33 P. Čech G
18 Nacho Monreal D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
21 C. Chambers D
24 Bellerín D
11 M. Özil M
19 Cazorla M
34 F. Coquelin M
16 A. Ramsey M
17 A. Sánchez M
12 O. Giroud F
Bench (7)
14 T. Walcott
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
2 M. Debuchy
3 K. Gibbs
8 Arteta
13 D. Ospina
20 M. Flamini

Liverpool

22 S. Mignolet G
37 M. Škrtel D
6 D. Lovren D
2 N. Clyne D
12 J. Gomez D
7 J. Milner M
21 Lucas Leiva M
10 Philippe Coutinho F
23 E. Can M
9 C. Benteke F
11 Roberto Firmino F
Bench (7)
33 J. Ibe
46 J. Rossiter
18 Alberto Moreno
17 M. Sakho
27 D. Origi
28 D. Ings
34 A. Bogdán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.