Gamealyst.com

Matchday 2 · 17. May

Championship

20:45 Hull Derby 0 2

Premier League

21:00 Man United Bournemouth 3 1

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Premier League

Referee: Jonathan Moss

Man United

S S U S T

3–1

Full-time

Bournemouth

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 40%

49%

30%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 49%

38%

59%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

12 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man United 6. · Bournemouth 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	38	23	12	3	+32	81
2	Arsenal	38	20	11	7	+29	71
3	Tottenham	38	19	13	6	+34	70
4	Man City	38	19	9	10	+30	66
5	Southampton	38	18	9	11	+18	63
6	Man United	37	18	9	10	+12	63
7	West Ham	38	16	14	8	+14	62
8	Liverpool	38	16	12	10	+13	60
9	Stoke	38	14	9	15	-14	51
10	Chelsea	38	12	14	12	+6	50
11	Everton	38	11	14	13	+4	47
12	Swansea	38	12	11	15	-10	47
13	Watford	38	12	9	17	-10	45
14	West Brom	38	10	13	15	-14	43
15	Crystal Palace	38	11	9	18	-12	42
16	Bournemouth	37	11	9	17	-20	42
17	Sunderland	38	9	12	17	-14	39
18	Newcastle	38	9	10	19	-21	37
19	Norwich	38	9	7	22	-28	34
20	Aston Villa	38	3	8	27	-49	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	19	12	6	1	+17	42
2	Arsenal	19	12	4	3	+20	40
3	Man City	19	12	2	5	+26	38
4	Man United	18	11	5	2	+16	38
5	Tottenham	19	10	6	3	+20	36
6	Southampton	19	11	3	5	+17	36
7	West Ham	19	9	7	3	+8	34
8	Liverpool	19	8	8	3	+11	32
9	Swansea	19	8	6	5	+0	30
10	Newcastle	19	7	7	5	+8	28
11	Stoke	19	8	4	7	-2	28
12	Sunderland	19	6	6	7	+3	24
13	Chelsea	19	5	9	5	+2	24
14	Watford	19	6	6	7	+1	24
15	Everton	19	6	5	8	+5	23
16	Norwich	19	6	5	8	-4	23
17	West Brom	19	6	5	8	-6	23
18	Crystal Palace	19	6	3	10	-4	21
19	Bournemouth	19	5	5	9	-11	20
20	Aston Villa	19	2	5	12	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	19	11	6	2	+15	39
2	Tottenham	19	9	7	3	+14	34
3	Arsenal	19	8	7	4	+9	31
4	West Ham	19	7	7	5	+6	28
5	Man City	19	7	7	5	+4	28
6	Liverpool	19	8	4	7	+2	28
7	Southampton	19	7	6	6	+1	27
8	Chelsea	19	7	5	7	+4	26
9	Man United	19	7	4	8	-4	25
10	Everton	19	5	9	5	-1	24
11	Stoke	19	6	5	8	-12	23
12	Bournemouth	18	6	4	8	-9	22
13	Crystal Palace	19	5	6	8	-8	21
14	Watford	19	6	3	10	-11	21
15	West Brom	19	4	8	7	-8	20
16	Swansea	19	4	5	10	-10	17
17	Sunderland	19	3	6	10	-17	15
18	Norwich	19	3	2	14	-24	11
19	Newcastle	19	2	3	14	-29	9
20	Aston Villa	19	1	3	15	-28	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.