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Championship
Referee: Paul Tierney
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sheffield Weds 12. · Reading 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ipswich 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 +3 5
5 Charlton 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Preston 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Hull 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Wolves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Nott'm Forest 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Derby 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Leeds 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Burnley 3 0 2 1 -2 2
18 Huddersfield 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Fulham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Reading 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 QPR 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 -4 1
23 Bolton 3 0 1 2 -4 1
24 Bristol City 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Reading
Sam Hutchinson 🟨
6′
26′
🟨 Aaron Tshibola
Marco Matias 🟨
32′
V. Sasso 🔁
↦ G. Loovens
35′
Half-time 0–1
49′
D. Williams 0–1
Orlando Sá
M. Sougou 🔁
↦ L. McGugan
57′
76′
🔁 J. Obita
↦ A. Taylor
S. Buș 🔁
↦ Marco Matias
82′
84′
🔁 N. Blackman
↦ Orlando Sá
84′
🔁 M. Hector
↦ H. Robson-Kanu
90′
🟨 Michael Hector
1–1 M. Sougou
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

34 L. Price
16 R. Wiggins D
5 G. Loovens D
32 J. Hunt D
4 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
33 R. Wallace M
10 L. McGugan M
21 Álex López M
7 Marco Matias F
18 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
23 V. Sasso
24 M. Sougou
11 S. Buș
28 J. Wildsmith
6 Semedo
20 K. Lee
17 J. Helan

Reading

1 J. Bond G
15 A. Ferdinand D
3 A. Taylor D
5 P. McShane D
2 C. Gunter D
21 S. Quinn M
9 H. Robson-Kanu F
23 D. Williams M
6 O. Norwood M
18 A. Tshibola M
10 Orlando Sá F
Bench (7)
11 J. Obita
22 N. Blackman
8 M. Hector
39 T. Fosu
37 J. Stacey
26 Ali Al Habsi
31 S. Cox

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.