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Championship

Referee: Dean Whitestone

Fulham

T S U T U

2–3

Full-time

Burnley

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Championship · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 39%

23%

54%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

63%

46%

Both score Ø 59%

71%

46%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fulham 19. · Burnley 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	35	19	11	5	+27	68
2	Middlesbrough	34	20	7	7	+27	67
3	Hull	32	19	6	7	+30	63
4	Brighton	34	17	12	5	+15	63
5	Derby	34	15	12	7	+15	57
6	Cardiff	35	14	13	8	+9	55
7	Birmingham	34	15	9	10	+8	54
8	Ipswich	34	15	9	10	+2	54
9	Sheffield Weds	33	14	11	8	+14	53
10	Preston	35	12	13	10	+1	49
11	Reading	34	11	11	12	+2	44
12	QPR	35	10	14	11	-1	44
13	Wolves	35	11	10	14	-6	43
14	Brentford	35	12	7	16	-7	43
15	Nott'm Forest	34	10	12	12	+1	42
16	Leeds	34	9	14	11	-8	41
17	Blackburn	34	9	13	12	+1	40
18	Huddersfield	35	10	9	16	-4	39
19	Fulham	35	8	13	14	-5	37
20	Bristol City	35	9	10	16	-24	37
21	Milton Keynes Dons	35	9	8	18	-18	35
22	Rotherham	35	9	5	21	-20	32
23	Charlton	35	6	10	19	-34	28
24	Bolton	35	4	13	18	-25	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	18	13	3	2	+22	42
2	Middlesbrough	17	12	3	2	+20	39
3	Brighton	17	12	2	3	+12	38
4	Hull	14	11	3	0	+26	36
5	Sheffield Weds	17	10	5	2	+18	35
6	Cardiff	17	9	7	1	+12	34
7	Derby	18	9	6	3	+14	33
8	Reading	18	7	8	3	+8	29
9	Birmingham	17	9	2	6	+3	29
10	Preston	18	7	7	4	+2	28
11	Ipswich	17	7	6	4	+4	27
12	QPR	17	6	8	3	+6	26
13	Blackburn	17	6	7	4	+6	25
14	Nott'm Forest	17	6	6	5	+5	24
15	Brentford	18	7	3	8	-2	24
16	Milton Keynes Dons	18	7	3	8	-6	24
17	Huddersfield	17	6	4	7	+5	22
18	Leeds	18	5	7	6	-3	22
19	Bolton	17	4	9	4	+0	21
20	Wolves	17	5	6	6	-2	21
21	Rotherham	17	6	3	8	-4	21
22	Fulham	17	5	5	7	+1	20
23	Bristol City	18	4	6	8	-12	18
24	Charlton	17	3	7	7	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	17	8	4	5	+7	28
2	Hull	18	8	3	7	+4	27
3	Ipswich	17	8	3	6	-2	27
4	Burnley	17	6	8	3	+5	26
5	Birmingham	17	6	7	4	+5	25
6	Brighton	17	5	10	2	+3	25
7	Derby	16	6	6	4	+1	24
8	Wolves	18	6	4	8	-4	22
9	Preston	17	5	6	6	-1	21
10	Cardiff	18	5	6	7	-3	21
11	Brentford	17	5	4	8	-5	19
12	Leeds	16	4	7	5	-5	19
13	Bristol City	17	5	4	8	-12	19
14	Sheffield Weds	16	4	6	6	-4	18
15	Nott'm Forest	17	4	6	7	-4	18
16	QPR	18	4	6	8	-7	18
17	Fulham	18	3	8	7	-6	17
18	Huddersfield	18	4	5	9	-9	17
19	Blackburn	17	3	6	8	-5	15
20	Reading	16	4	3	9	-6	15
21	Charlton	18	3	3	12	-25	12
22	Milton Keynes Dons	17	2	5	10	-12	11
23	Rotherham	18	3	2	13	-16	11
24	Bolton	18	0	4	14	-25	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.