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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Brighton
T T U U S
1–3
Full-time
Chelsea
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Jan -20 Brighton – Chelsea 1–1 28. Sep -19 Chelsea – Brighton 2–0 3. Apr -19 Chelsea – Brighton 3–0 16. Dec -18 Brighton – Chelsea 1–2 20. Jan -18 Brighton – Chelsea 0–4

Match report

Brighton Chelsea
23′
⚽ Jorginho 0–1
A. Connolly 🔁
↦ A. Lallana
45′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Trossard ⚽
T. Lamptey
54′
56′
⚽ R. James 1–2
Jorginho
61′
🔁 R. Barkley
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
66′
⚽ K. Zouma 1–3
R. James
A. Jahanbakhsh 🔁
↦ S. Alzate
79′
P. Groß 🔁
↦ B. White
79′
80′
🔁 C. Hudson-Odoi
↦ K. Havertz
Tariq Lamptey 🟨
81′
85′
🔁 Azpilicueta
↦ Jorginho
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Brighton

3-5-2
1 M. Ryan G
4 A. Webster D
5 L. Dunk D
3 B. White D
2 T. Lamptey M
14 A. Lallana M
20 S. March M
8 Y. Bissouma M
11 L. Trossard F
9 N. Maupay F
17 S. Alzate M
Bench (7)
7 A. Connolly
16 A. Jahanbakhsh
13 P. Groß
6 D. Stephens
33 D. Burn
34 J. Veltman
23 J. Steele

Coach: G. Potter

Chelsea

4-2-2-2
1 Kepa G
3 Marcos Alonso D
15 K. Zouma D
4 A. Christensen D
24 R. James D
5 Jorginho M
7 N. Kanté M
12 R. Loftus-Cheek F
19 M. Mount M
29 K. Havertz M
11 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
8 R. Barkley
20 C. Hudson-Odoi
28 Azpilicueta
18 O. Giroud
9 T. Abraham
2 A. Rüdiger
13 W. Caballero

Coach: F. Lampard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,12
🔒
U
4,13
🔒
B ✓
1,65
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
U2,5
2,08
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.