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La Liga

Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo

Osasuna

T T T T T

3–3

Full-time

Valencia

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,2

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-2,2

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 13%

20%

Points per game

0,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

56%

73%

Both score Ø 72%

56%

87%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

2,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%

22 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 20. · Valencia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+31	40
2	Sevilla	17	11	3	3	+15	36
3	Barcelona	17	10	5	2	+25	35
4	Ath Madrid	17	9	4	4	+17	31
5	Villarreal	17	8	6	3	+14	30
6	Sociedad	17	9	2	6	+3	29
7	Ath Bilbao	17	8	3	6	+3	27
8	Las Palmas	17	6	6	5	+3	24
9	Celta	17	7	3	7	-4	24
10	Eibar	17	6	5	6	+0	23
11	Espanol	17	5	8	4	-2	23
12	Alaves	17	5	7	5	-2	22
13	Malaga	17	5	6	6	-3	21
14	Betis	17	6	3	8	-9	21
15	La Coruna	17	4	5	8	-5	17
16	Leganes	17	4	4	9	-16	16
17	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Sp Gijon	17	3	3	11	-17	12
19	Granada	17	1	6	10	-24	9
20	Osasuna	16	1	4	11	-21	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Sevilla	8	7	0	1	+9	21
3	Villarreal	9	6	2	1	+12	20
4	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+7	20
5	Las Palmas	9	5	4	0	+9	19
6	Celta	9	6	0	3	+2	18
7	Ath Madrid	8	5	2	1	+12	17
8	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
9	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+4	17
10	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+3	17
11	Barcelona	8	4	3	1	+11	15
12	Betis	9	4	3	2	+0	15
13	La Coruna	8	4	1	3	+5	13
14	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Sp Gijon	8	3	1	4	-6	10
17	Granada	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Leganes	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Valencia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Ath Madrid	9	4	2	3	+5	14
5	Sociedad	8	4	0	4	+0	12
6	Alaves	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	Espanol	8	3	3	2	-2	12
8	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-10	10
10	Valencia	8	2	1	5	-3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	1	5	-4	7
12	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-4	6
13	Celta	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Betis	8	2	0	6	-9	6
15	Las Palmas	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Osasuna	8	1	2	5	-10	5
17	Malaga	9	0	4	5	-9	4
18	La Coruna	9	0	4	5	-10	4
19	Granada	9	0	3	6	-20	3
20	Sp Gijon	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.