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Eliteserien

Referee: O Nilsen

Molde

S S T U S

4–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

4,0

1,7

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 7/5 matches

Win Ø 39%

57%

20%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

71%

Both score Ø 39%

57%

20%

Average goals

3,7

1,0

Scored

2,4

0,6

Conceded

1,3

0,4

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 3. · Sarpsborg 08 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	1	1	+9	16
2	Kristiansund	7	5	0	2	+2	15
3	Molde	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Rosenborg	8	4	2	2	+7	14
5	Viking	7	4	0	3	+0	12
6	Valerenga	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Tromso	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Stromsgodset	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Lillestrom	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	Mjondalen	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Haugesund	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Odd	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Stabaek	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Brann	8	1	1	6	-10	4
16	Sandefjord	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Rosenborg	4	3	0	1	+7	9
3	Viking	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Kristiansund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Stromsgodset	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Molde	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Haugesund	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Odd	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Brann	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Mjondalen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Tromso	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Sandefjord	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Rosenborg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Mjondalen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Viking	3	1	0	2	-5	3
11	Stabaek	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Odd	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Haugesund	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Brann	5	0	1	4	-9	1
15	Lillestrom	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Stromsgodset	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.